Current forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international agencies indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms over Incheon through August 31, limiting daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling to produce minimum temperatures near 22–24°C. These conditions, driven by regional moisture advection and reduced solar insolation, narrow the typical late-August diurnal range and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the low-to-mid 20s. Trader consensus on the 28°C+ outcome at 34.5% likely reflects residual uncertainty in model runs and potential for brief clear spells, while lower-probability colder bins account for heavier rainfall enhancing evaporative cooling. Updated model guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 31?
28°C or higher 69%
21°C 46%
25°C 46%
27°C 43%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
18°C or below
20%
19°C
17%
20°C
12%
21°C
46%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
24%
25°C
46%
26°C
2%
27°C
43%
28°C or higher
69%
28°C or higher 69%
21°C 46%
25°C 46%
27°C 43%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Wol.
20%
19°C
$0 Wol.
17%
20°C
$0 Wol.
12%
21°C
$0 Wol.
46%
22°C
$0 Wol.
26%
23°C
$0 Wol.
26%
24°C
$0 Wol.
24%
25°C
$0 Wol.
46%
26°C
$0 Wol.
2%
27°C
$0 Wol.
43%
28°C or higher
$0 Wol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international agencies indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms over Incheon through August 31, limiting daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling to produce minimum temperatures near 22–24°C. These conditions, driven by regional moisture advection and reduced solar insolation, narrow the typical late-August diurnal range and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the low-to-mid 20s. Trader consensus on the 28°C+ outcome at 34.5% likely reflects residual uncertainty in model runs and potential for brief clear spells, while lower-probability colder bins account for heavier rainfall enhancing evaporative cooling. Updated model guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international agencies indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms over Incheon through August 31, limiting daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling to produce minimum temperatures near 22–24°C. These conditions, driven by regional moisture advection and reduced solar insolation, narrow the typical late-August diurnal range and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the low-to-mid 20s. Trader consensus on the 28°C+ outcome at 34.5% likely reflects residual uncertainty in model runs and potential for brief clear spells, while lower-probability colder bins account for heavier rainfall enhancing evaporative cooling. Updated model guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international agencies indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms over Incheon through August 31, limiting daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling to produce minimum temperatures near 22–24°C. These conditions, driven by regional moisture advection and reduced solar insolation, narrow the typical late-August diurnal range and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the low-to-mid 20s. Trader consensus on the 28°C+ outcome at 34.5% likely reflects residual uncertainty in model runs and potential for brief clear spells, while lower-probability colder bins account for heavier rainfall enhancing evaporative cooling. Updated model guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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