Recent official forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Incheon/Seoul on September 3 of 21–22°C under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds. This consensus supports the market's leading outcomes at 22°C (40.5% implied probability) and 21°C (27.0%), as early-September radiative cooling after humid summer conditions typically produces overnight lows in this narrow band absent major frontal systems. Model runs show minimal spread, with some guidance dipping briefly toward 20–21°C around dawn before rebounding, while warmer scenarios above 23°C remain less favored given the current stable high-pressure pattern. Traders are weighting the latest short-range updates heavily, as resolution occurs in under 48 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 3?
22°C 42%
21°C 34%
23°C 16%
20°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
10%
18°C
6%
19°C
5%
20°C
14%
21°C
34%
22°C
42%
23°C
16%
24°C
14%
25°C or higher
1%
22°C 42%
21°C 34%
23°C 16%
20°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
15°C or below
$314 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$25 Wol.
2%
17°C
$60 Wol.
10%
18°C
$75 Wol.
6%
19°C
$36 Wol.
5%
20°C
$0 Wol.
14%
21°C
$0 Wol.
34%
22°C
$0 Wol.
42%
23°C
$0 Wol.
16%
24°C
$219 Wol.
14%
25°C or higher
$5 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Incheon/Seoul on September 3 of 21–22°C under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds. This consensus supports the market's leading outcomes at 22°C (40.5% implied probability) and 21°C (27.0%), as early-September radiative cooling after humid summer conditions typically produces overnight lows in this narrow band absent major frontal systems. Model runs show minimal spread, with some guidance dipping briefly toward 20–21°C around dawn before rebounding, while warmer scenarios above 23°C remain less favored given the current stable high-pressure pattern. Traders are weighting the latest short-range updates heavily, as resolution occurs in under 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$735Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Incheon/Seoul on September 3 of 21–22°C under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds. This consensus supports the market's leading outcomes at 22°C (40.5% implied probability) and 21°C (27.0%), as early-September radiative cooling after humid summer conditions typically produces overnight lows in this narrow band absent major frontal systems. Model runs show minimal spread, with some guidance dipping briefly toward 20–21°C around dawn before rebounding, while warmer scenarios above 23°C remain less favored given the current stable high-pressure pattern. Traders are weighting the latest short-range updates heavily, as resolution occurs in under 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$735Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Incheon/Seoul on September 3 of 21–22°C under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds. This consensus supports the market's leading outcomes at 22°C (40.5% implied probability) and 21°C (27.0%), as early-September radiative cooling after humid summer conditions typically produces overnight lows in this narrow band absent major frontal systems. Model runs show minimal spread, with some guidance dipping briefly toward 20–21°C around dawn before rebounding, while warmer scenarios above 23°C remain less favored given the current stable high-pressure pattern. Traders are weighting the latest short-range updates heavily, as resolution occurs in under 48 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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