Current forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies, northeasterly winds of 6–10 m/s, and minimal cloud cover over Incheon on September 4, 2026, supporting overnight radiative cooling and minimum temperatures centered around 20–22°C. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering on 21°C (35.5%), 22°C (30%), and 23°C (28.5%), as traders weigh subtle differences in model guidance for the exact pre-dawn low. Seasonal transition from summer warmth, combined with high pressure and dry air, favors this range over warmer or cooler extremes, with resolution hinging on official Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport. Updated model runs and any late shifts in wind or humidity will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 4?
23°C 56%
21°C 36%
22°C 31%
20°C 20%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
17%
17°C
19%
18°C
5%
19°C
13%
20°C
20%
21°C
36%
22°C
31%
23°C
56%
24°C
15%
25°C or higher
1%
23°C 56%
21°C 36%
22°C 31%
20°C 20%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
16°C
$0 Wol.
17%
17°C
$0 Wol.
19%
18°C
$41 Wol.
5%
19°C
$0 Wol.
13%
20°C
$0 Wol.
20%
21°C
$0 Wol.
36%
22°C
$0 Wol.
31%
23°C
$0 Wol.
56%
24°C
$0 Wol.
15%
25°C or higher
$0 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies, northeasterly winds of 6–10 m/s, and minimal cloud cover over Incheon on September 4, 2026, supporting overnight radiative cooling and minimum temperatures centered around 20–22°C. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering on 21°C (35.5%), 22°C (30%), and 23°C (28.5%), as traders weigh subtle differences in model guidance for the exact pre-dawn low. Seasonal transition from summer warmth, combined with high pressure and dry air, favors this range over warmer or cooler extremes, with resolution hinging on official Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport. Updated model runs and any late shifts in wind or humidity will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$41Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies, northeasterly winds of 6–10 m/s, and minimal cloud cover over Incheon on September 4, 2026, supporting overnight radiative cooling and minimum temperatures centered around 20–22°C. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering on 21°C (35.5%), 22°C (30%), and 23°C (28.5%), as traders weigh subtle differences in model guidance for the exact pre-dawn low. Seasonal transition from summer warmth, combined with high pressure and dry air, favors this range over warmer or cooler extremes, with resolution hinging on official Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport. Updated model runs and any late shifts in wind or humidity will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$41Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies, northeasterly winds of 6–10 m/s, and minimal cloud cover over Incheon on September 4, 2026, supporting overnight radiative cooling and minimum temperatures centered around 20–22°C. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering on 21°C (35.5%), 22°C (30%), and 23°C (28.5%), as traders weigh subtle differences in model guidance for the exact pre-dawn low. Seasonal transition from summer warmth, combined with high pressure and dry air, favors this range over warmer or cooler extremes, with resolution hinging on official Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport. Updated model runs and any late shifts in wind or humidity will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania