Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms forecast for August 30 are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Shenzhen’s subtropical environment, keeping minimum temperatures clustered near 25–27°C according to recent model consensus from sources like the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau. High humidity above 85% and light variable winds further suppress temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation and reducing heat loss to the atmosphere. These conditions follow heavy rainfall on August 28 that increased soil moisture and local evaporative cooling effects. Official forecasts show slight model spread in exact timing of any clearing, which accounts for the closely matched market-implied probabilities around 25–27°C. Updated runs from regional numerical weather prediction models over the next 12–24 hours will refine the overnight minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30?
31°C 49%
32°C 49%
33°C or higher 47%
26°C 47%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
11%
24°C
25%
25°C
36%
26°C
47%
27°C
31%
28°C
26%
29°C
24%
30°C
25%
31°C
49%
32°C
49%
33°C or higher
47%
31°C 49%
32°C 49%
33°C or higher 47%
26°C 47%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
$16 Wol.
11%
24°C
$0 Wol.
25%
25°C
$0 Wol.
36%
26°C
$0 Wol.
47%
27°C
$0 Wol.
31%
28°C
$0 Wol.
26%
29°C
$0 Wol.
24%
30°C
$0 Wol.
25%
31°C
$10 Wol.
49%
32°C
$5 Wol.
49%
33°C or higher
$5 Wol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms forecast for August 30 are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Shenzhen’s subtropical environment, keeping minimum temperatures clustered near 25–27°C according to recent model consensus from sources like the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau. High humidity above 85% and light variable winds further suppress temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation and reducing heat loss to the atmosphere. These conditions follow heavy rainfall on August 28 that increased soil moisture and local evaporative cooling effects. Official forecasts show slight model spread in exact timing of any clearing, which accounts for the closely matched market-implied probabilities around 25–27°C. Updated runs from regional numerical weather prediction models over the next 12–24 hours will refine the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$36Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms forecast for August 30 are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Shenzhen’s subtropical environment, keeping minimum temperatures clustered near 25–27°C according to recent model consensus from sources like the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau. High humidity above 85% and light variable winds further suppress temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation and reducing heat loss to the atmosphere. These conditions follow heavy rainfall on August 28 that increased soil moisture and local evaporative cooling effects. Official forecasts show slight model spread in exact timing of any clearing, which accounts for the closely matched market-implied probabilities around 25–27°C. Updated runs from regional numerical weather prediction models over the next 12–24 hours will refine the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$36Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms forecast for August 30 are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Shenzhen’s subtropical environment, keeping minimum temperatures clustered near 25–27°C according to recent model consensus from sources like the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau. High humidity above 85% and light variable winds further suppress temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation and reducing heat loss to the atmosphere. These conditions follow heavy rainfall on August 28 that increased soil moisture and local evaporative cooling effects. Official forecasts show slight model spread in exact timing of any clearing, which accounts for the closely matched market-implied probabilities around 25–27°C. Updated runs from regional numerical weather prediction models over the next 12–24 hours will refine the overnight minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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