**Forecast models from agencies like the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international sources consistently project a minimum temperature of 25–26°C for September 17, 2026, under mostly cloudy to partly sunny conditions with light easterly winds and high humidity around 80% overnight.** This stable subtropical monsoon pattern, typical for the region in mid-September with no active tropical systems or frontal boundaries nearby, positions 26°C as the market leader at 58% implied probability. Hourly observations through the morning confirm overnight lows near 25–26°C, aligning with ensemble consensus and historical September baselines. Upcoming evening updates from official monitoring could refine exact readings, but current data show limited volatility for outcomes below 24°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 17?
24°C 20%
23°C 13%
25°C 10%
21°C or below 4.8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
5%
22°C
<1%
23°C
13%
24°C
20%
25°C
10%
26°C
54%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 20%
23°C 13%
25°C 10%
21°C or below 4.8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
$41 Wol.
5%
22°C
$16 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$25 Wol.
13%
24°C
$25 Wol.
20%
25°C
$63 Wol.
10%
26°C
$106 Wol.
54%
27°C
$232 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$36 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$31 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$31 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$31 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies like the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international sources consistently project a minimum temperature of 25–26°C for September 17, 2026, under mostly cloudy to partly sunny conditions with light easterly winds and high humidity around 80% overnight.** This stable subtropical monsoon pattern, typical for the region in mid-September with no active tropical systems or frontal boundaries nearby, positions 26°C as the market leader at 58% implied probability. Hourly observations through the morning confirm overnight lows near 25–26°C, aligning with ensemble consensus and historical September baselines. Upcoming evening updates from official monitoring could refine exact readings, but current data show limited volatility for outcomes below 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$637Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies like the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international sources consistently project a minimum temperature of 25–26°C for September 17, 2026, under mostly cloudy to partly sunny conditions with light easterly winds and high humidity around 80% overnight.** This stable subtropical monsoon pattern, typical for the region in mid-September with no active tropical systems or frontal boundaries nearby, positions 26°C as the market leader at 58% implied probability. Hourly observations through the morning confirm overnight lows near 25–26°C, aligning with ensemble consensus and historical September baselines. Upcoming evening updates from official monitoring could refine exact readings, but current data show limited volatility for outcomes below 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$637Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from agencies like the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international sources consistently project a minimum temperature of 25–26°C for September 17, 2026, under mostly cloudy to partly sunny conditions with light easterly winds and high humidity around 80% overnight.** This stable subtropical monsoon pattern, typical for the region in mid-September with no active tropical systems or frontal boundaries nearby, positions 26°C as the market leader at 58% implied probability. Hourly observations through the morning confirm overnight lows near 25–26°C, aligning with ensemble consensus and historical September baselines. Upcoming evening updates from official monitoring could refine exact readings, but current data show limited volatility for outcomes below 24°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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