Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and local agencies point to a mild overnight period for Warsaw on September 21, with minimum temperatures expected near 11–12°C amid light showers, westerly winds of 15–20 km/h, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of mid-September transitional weather influenced by Atlantic air masses, support the market's elevated implied probability for a lowest temperature of 16°C or higher while keeping lower bins like 10°C or 6°C or below as viable alternatives if stronger cooling develops. Historical September lows average around 9–11°C, but current pressure patterns and precipitation reduce the chance of sharp drops. Updated model runs and official IMGW observations will refine resolution thresholds before the day's close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 21?
16°C or higher 95%
6°C or below 49%
10°C 46%
12°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
6°C or below
49%
7°C
18%
8°C
9%
9°C
37%
10°C
26%
11°C
22%
12°C
40%
13°C
20%
14°C
34%
15°C
5%
16°C or higher
95%
16°C or higher 95%
6°C or below 49%
10°C 46%
12°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Wol.
49%
7°C
$0 Wol.
18%
8°C
$0 Wol.
9%
9°C
$0 Wol.
37%
10°C
$13 Wol.
26%
11°C
$0 Wol.
22%
12°C
$0 Wol.
40%
13°C
$0 Wol.
20%
14°C
$0 Wol.
34%
15°C
$0 Wol.
5%
16°C or higher
$0 Wol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and local agencies point to a mild overnight period for Warsaw on September 21, with minimum temperatures expected near 11–12°C amid light showers, westerly winds of 15–20 km/h, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of mid-September transitional weather influenced by Atlantic air masses, support the market's elevated implied probability for a lowest temperature of 16°C or higher while keeping lower bins like 10°C or 6°C or below as viable alternatives if stronger cooling develops. Historical September lows average around 9–11°C, but current pressure patterns and precipitation reduce the chance of sharp drops. Updated model runs and official IMGW observations will refine resolution thresholds before the day's close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$13Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and local agencies point to a mild overnight period for Warsaw on September 21, with minimum temperatures expected near 11–12°C amid light showers, westerly winds of 15–20 km/h, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of mid-September transitional weather influenced by Atlantic air masses, support the market's elevated implied probability for a lowest temperature of 16°C or higher while keeping lower bins like 10°C or 6°C or below as viable alternatives if stronger cooling develops. Historical September lows average around 9–11°C, but current pressure patterns and precipitation reduce the chance of sharp drops. Updated model runs and official IMGW observations will refine resolution thresholds before the day's close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$13Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and local agencies point to a mild overnight period for Warsaw on September 21, with minimum temperatures expected near 11–12°C amid light showers, westerly winds of 15–20 km/h, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of mid-September transitional weather influenced by Atlantic air masses, support the market's elevated implied probability for a lowest temperature of 16°C or higher while keeping lower bins like 10°C or 6°C or below as viable alternatives if stronger cooling develops. Historical September lows average around 9–11°C, but current pressure patterns and precipitation reduce the chance of sharp drops. Updated model runs and official IMGW observations will refine resolution thresholds before the day's close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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