Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and European guidance points to a cool, unsettled day in Warsaw on September 21, with daytime highs most likely reaching 14–15°C amid widespread showers, moderate westerly winds, and high humidity. A frontal system tracking across central Europe is driving the temperature drop from the prior weekend’s 19–22°C readings, with Atlantic air masses suppressing any significant warming. Ensemble spreads and model runs show limited upside potential above 16°C given persistent cloud cover and precipitation chances exceeding 60%, while downside risk below 14°C remains modest absent stronger northerly flow. Traders are weighting the 15°C outcome highest, reflecting the narrow but uncertain range typical of short-range mid-latitude forecasts this time of year.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 21?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 21?
15°C 45%
16°C 24%
14°C 22%
13°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
22%
15°C
45%
16°C
24%
17°C
4%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 45%
16°C 24%
14°C 22%
13°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
10°C or below
$267 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$122 Wol.
1%
12°C
$0 Wol.
2%
13°C
$199 Wol.
5%
14°C
$3,049 Wol.
22%
15°C
$813 Wol.
45%
16°C
$3,061 Wol.
24%
17°C
$218 Wol.
4%
18°C
$200 Wol.
2%
19°C
$105 Wol.
1%
20°C or higher
$188 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and European guidance points to a cool, unsettled day in Warsaw on September 21, with daytime highs most likely reaching 14–15°C amid widespread showers, moderate westerly winds, and high humidity. A frontal system tracking across central Europe is driving the temperature drop from the prior weekend’s 19–22°C readings, with Atlantic air masses suppressing any significant warming. Ensemble spreads and model runs show limited upside potential above 16°C given persistent cloud cover and precipitation chances exceeding 60%, while downside risk below 14°C remains modest absent stronger northerly flow. Traders are weighting the 15°C outcome highest, reflecting the narrow but uncertain range typical of short-range mid-latitude forecasts this time of year.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,221Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and European guidance points to a cool, unsettled day in Warsaw on September 21, with daytime highs most likely reaching 14–15°C amid widespread showers, moderate westerly winds, and high humidity. A frontal system tracking across central Europe is driving the temperature drop from the prior weekend’s 19–22°C readings, with Atlantic air masses suppressing any significant warming. Ensemble spreads and model runs show limited upside potential above 16°C given persistent cloud cover and precipitation chances exceeding 60%, while downside risk below 14°C remains modest absent stronger northerly flow. Traders are weighting the 15°C outcome highest, reflecting the narrow but uncertain range typical of short-range mid-latitude forecasts this time of year.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,221Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and European guidance points to a cool, unsettled day in Warsaw on September 21, with daytime highs most likely reaching 14–15°C amid widespread showers, moderate westerly winds, and high humidity. A frontal system tracking across central Europe is driving the temperature drop from the prior weekend’s 19–22°C readings, with Atlantic air masses suppressing any significant warming. Ensemble spreads and model runs show limited upside potential above 16°C given persistent cloud cover and precipitation chances exceeding 60%, while downside risk below 14°C remains modest absent stronger northerly flow. Traders are weighting the 15°C outcome highest, reflecting the narrow but uncertain range typical of short-range mid-latitude forecasts this time of year.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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