Recent forecasts indicate a lingering influence from tropical cyclone remnants and associated troughs will drive cooler, breezy conditions over Wuhan on September 3, with north-to-northeasterly winds of 3–7 m/s and scattered showers or overcast skies expected to moderate nocturnal radiative cooling. Model consensus points to overnight lows near 20–23 °C, though outcomes hinge on exact timing of clearing, wind persistence, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift minimum temperatures by several degrees. Historical early-September climatology shows typical lows around 23–25 °C, making the current setup anomalously cool and explaining the market’s dispersion between 17 °C or below and 27 °C or higher scenarios. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of resolution will be key.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 3?
27°C or higher 69%
17°C or below 59%
21°C 27%
22°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
17°C or below
59%
18°C
17%
19°C
19%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
25%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
69%
27°C or higher 69%
17°C or below 59%
21°C 27%
22°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
17°C or below
$5 Wol.
59%
18°C
$5 Wol.
17%
19°C
$5 Wol.
19%
20°C
$0 Wol.
26%
21°C
$0 Wol.
27%
22°C
$0 Wol.
27%
23°C
$0 Wol.
26%
24°C
$0 Wol.
26%
25°C
$0 Wol.
25%
26°C
$5 Wol.
2%
27°C or higher
$5 Wol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a lingering influence from tropical cyclone remnants and associated troughs will drive cooler, breezy conditions over Wuhan on September 3, with north-to-northeasterly winds of 3–7 m/s and scattered showers or overcast skies expected to moderate nocturnal radiative cooling. Model consensus points to overnight lows near 20–23 °C, though outcomes hinge on exact timing of clearing, wind persistence, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift minimum temperatures by several degrees. Historical early-September climatology shows typical lows around 23–25 °C, making the current setup anomalously cool and explaining the market’s dispersion between 17 °C or below and 27 °C or higher scenarios. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of resolution will be key.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$25Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a lingering influence from tropical cyclone remnants and associated troughs will drive cooler, breezy conditions over Wuhan on September 3, with north-to-northeasterly winds of 3–7 m/s and scattered showers or overcast skies expected to moderate nocturnal radiative cooling. Model consensus points to overnight lows near 20–23 °C, though outcomes hinge on exact timing of clearing, wind persistence, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift minimum temperatures by several degrees. Historical early-September climatology shows typical lows around 23–25 °C, making the current setup anomalously cool and explaining the market’s dispersion between 17 °C or below and 27 °C or higher scenarios. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of resolution will be key.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$25Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate a lingering influence from tropical cyclone remnants and associated troughs will drive cooler, breezy conditions over Wuhan on September 3, with north-to-northeasterly winds of 3–7 m/s and scattered showers or overcast skies expected to moderate nocturnal radiative cooling. Model consensus points to overnight lows near 20–23 °C, though outcomes hinge on exact timing of clearing, wind persistence, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift minimum temperatures by several degrees. Historical early-September climatology shows typical lows around 23–25 °C, making the current setup anomalously cool and explaining the market’s dispersion between 17 °C or below and 27 °C or higher scenarios. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of resolution will be key.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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