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Polityka·Wybory Globalne

Zwycięzca wyborów do Zgromadzenia Ustawodawczego Tamil Nadu

Market icon
Polityka·Wybory Globalne

Zwycięzca wyborów do Zgromadzenia Ustawodawczego Tamil Nadu

DMK 76%

ADMK 15.9%

TVK 8.8%

AITC <1%

Polymarket

$389,642 Wol.

DMK 76%

ADMK 15.9%

TVK 8.8%

AITC <1%

Polymarket

$389,642 Wol.

Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? icon

DMK

$57,124 Wol.

76%

Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? icon

ADMK

$50,228 Wol.

16%

Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? icon

TVK

$88,195 Wol.

9%

Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? icon

AITC

$22,437 Wol.

<1%

Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? icon

CPI(M)

$40,512 Wol.

<1%

Will the Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam (DMDK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? icon

DMDK

$14,849 Wol.

<1%

Will the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? icon

BSP

$13,144 Wol.

<1%

Will the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? icon

CPI

$14,064 Wol.

<1%

Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? icon

INC

$35,415 Wol.

<1%

Will the National People’s Party (NPEP) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? icon

NPEP

$13,372 Wol.

<1%

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? icon

BJP

$22,158 Wol.

<1%

Will the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? icon

NCP

$18,147 Wol.

<1%

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Incumbent DMK alliance, led by Chief Minister M.K. Stalin, commands trader consensus at 76% implied probability to win Tamil Nadu's April 23 Legislative Assembly election, bolstered by recent opinion polls like IPDS and Vikatan surveys released in the past week projecting 170+ seats amid strong female voter support from welfare schemes such as free bus travel. AIADMK at 15.8% trails due to internal divisions and a fragmented opposition, while actor Vijay's TVK garners 8.8% as a youth-focused wildcard contesting solo, potentially splitting anti-incumbency votes without alliances. Nominations finalized and manifestos unveiled highlight DMK's edge in vote share consolidation across regions, with campaigning wrapping up ahead of single-phase polling.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Wolumen
$389,642
Data zakończenia
Apr 23, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Incumbent DMK alliance, led by Chief Minister M.K. Stalin, commands trader consensus at 76% implied probability to win Tamil Nadu's April 23 Legislative Assembly election, bolstered by recent opinion polls like IPDS and Vikatan surveys released in the past week projecting 170+ seats amid strong female voter support from welfare schemes such as free bus travel. AIADMK at 15.8% trails due to internal divisions and a fragmented opposition, while actor Vijay's TVK garners 8.8% as a youth-focused wildcard contesting solo, potentially splitting anti-incumbency votes without alliances. Nominations finalized and manifestos unveiled highlight DMK's edge in vote share consolidation across regions, with campaigning wrapping up ahead of single-phase polling.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Wolumen
$389,642
Data zakończenia
Apr 23, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).

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Często zadawane pytania

"Zwycięzca wyborów do Zgromadzenia Ustawodawczego Tamil Nadu" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 12 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "DMK" z 76%, za nim "ADMK" z 16%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 76¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 76% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Zwycięzca wyborów do Zgromadzenia Ustawodawczego Tamil Nadu" wygenerował $389.6K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Dec 23, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Zwycięzca wyborów do Zgromadzenia Ustawodawczego Tamil Nadu", przeglądaj 12 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Zwycięzca wyborów do Zgromadzenia Ustawodawczego Tamil Nadu" jest "DMK" z 76%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 76% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "ADMK" z 16%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Zwycięzca wyborów do Zgromadzenia Ustawodawczego Tamil Nadu" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.