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Polityka·Trump

Kto odejdzie z administracji Trumpa przed 2027 r.?

icon for Kto odejdzie z administracji Trumpa przed 2027 r.?
Polityka·Trump

Kto odejdzie z administracji Trumpa przed 2027 r.?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

$1,400,759 Wol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,400,759 Wol.

Polymarket

Kristi Noem

$97,520 Wol.

39%

Dan Scavino

$137 Wol.

29%

Howard Lutnick

$94,437 Wol.

25%

Kash Patel

$304,015 Wol.

24%

Susie Wiles

$55,831 Wol.

24%

Pete Hegseth

$126,694 Wol.

22%

Lee Zeldin

$31,760 Wol.

22%

David Sacks

$9,151 Wol.

22%

Markwayne Mullin

$2,631 Wol.

23%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$90,850 Wol.

13%

Tom Homan

$187 Wol.

26%

John Ratcliffe

$554 Wol.

13%

Stephen Miller

$3,769 Wol.

11%

Russell Vought

$284 Wol.

17%

Scott Bessent

$7,892 Wol.

9%

Marco Rubio

$19,710 Wol.

8%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.High turnover has defined the second Trump administration, with nearly a quarter of non-Senate-confirmed appointees departing in the first 18 months—more than double the pace under recent predecessors—alongside multiple Cabinet-level exits including firings of Kristi Noem and Pam Bondi plus resignations by Tulsi Gabbard and Lori Chavez-DeRemer. White House senior staff turnover reached 54 percent by August 2026, fueled by policy implementation demands, agency downsizing, and personal factors. Traders price elevated probabilities for figures like Pete Hegseth, Kash Patel, and Dan Bongino amid ongoing vacancies, loyalty questions, and a midterm-focused points system tracking Cabinet travel to competitive districts. Resolution hinges on announcements by December 31, 2026, with further shakeups possible from Senate dynamics or internal reviews.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Wolumen
$1,400,759
Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Jul 15, 2026, 3:55 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.High turnover has defined the second Trump administration, with nearly a quarter of non-Senate-confirmed appointees departing in the first 18 months—more than double the pace under recent predecessors—alongside multiple Cabinet-level exits including firings of Kristi Noem and Pam Bondi plus resignations by Tulsi Gabbard and Lori Chavez-DeRemer. White House senior staff turnover reached 54 percent by August 2026, fueled by policy implementation demands, agency downsizing, and personal factors. Traders price elevated probabilities for figures like Pete Hegseth, Kash Patel, and Dan Bongino amid ongoing vacancies, loyalty questions, and a midterm-focused points system tracking Cabinet travel to competitive districts. Resolution hinges on announcements by December 31, 2026, with further shakeups possible from Senate dynamics or internal reviews.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Wolumen
$1,400,759
Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Jul 15, 2026, 3:55 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x65070BE91...

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