Israeli President Isaac Herzog continues to review Benjamin Netanyahu’s December 2025 pardon request in three ongoing corruption cases, with the Ministry of Justice and other legal offices still providing opinions as of mid-2026. Herzog has indicated any decision would follow standard procedures rather than external pressure, including repeated public calls from U.S. President Trump. No precedent exists for a mid-trial presidential pardon, and Israeli public opinion remains divided, with polls showing substantial opposition tied to rule-of-law concerns ahead of elections due by November 2026. Trader consensus on platforms such as Polymarket assigns low probability to a pardon by year-end, reflecting the procedural hurdles, Herzog’s deliberate pace, and the absence of a plea deal or political consensus that would clear the path.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$477,652 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
7%
$477,652 Wol.
December 31
$6,634 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israeli President Isaac Herzog continues to review Benjamin Netanyahu’s December 2025 pardon request in three ongoing corruption cases, with the Ministry of Justice and other legal offices still providing opinions as of mid-2026. Herzog has indicated any decision would follow standard procedures rather than external pressure, including repeated public calls from U.S. President Trump. No precedent exists for a mid-trial presidential pardon, and Israeli public opinion remains divided, with polls showing substantial opposition tied to rule-of-law concerns ahead of elections due by November 2026. Trader consensus on platforms such as Polymarket assigns low probability to a pardon by year-end, reflecting the procedural hurdles, Herzog’s deliberate pace, and the absence of a plea deal or political consensus that would clear the path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Wolumen
$477,652Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israeli President Isaac Herzog continues to review Benjamin Netanyahu’s December 2025 pardon request in three ongoing corruption cases, with the Ministry of Justice and other legal offices still providing opinions as of mid-2026. Herzog has indicated any decision would follow standard procedures rather than external pressure, including repeated public calls from U.S. President Trump. No precedent exists for a mid-trial presidential pardon, and Israeli public opinion remains divided, with polls showing substantial opposition tied to rule-of-law concerns ahead of elections due by November 2026. Trader consensus on platforms such as Polymarket assigns low probability to a pardon by year-end, reflecting the procedural hurdles, Herzog’s deliberate pace, and the absence of a plea deal or political consensus that would clear the path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$477,652Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli President Isaac Herzog continues to review Benjamin Netanyahu’s December 2025 pardon request in three ongoing corruption cases, with the Ministry of Justice and other legal offices still providing opinions as of mid-2026. Herzog has indicated any decision would follow standard procedures rather than external pressure, including repeated public calls from U.S. President Trump. No precedent exists for a mid-trial presidential pardon, and Israeli public opinion remains divided, with polls showing substantial opposition tied to rule-of-law concerns ahead of elections due by November 2026. Trader consensus on platforms such as Polymarket assigns low probability to a pardon by year-end, reflecting the procedural hurdles, Herzog’s deliberate pace, and the absence of a plea deal or political consensus that would clear the path.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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