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Cartel predictions & odds

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U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?

32%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$15.5K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

46%

June 30

$119K Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

61%

Ricardo Ruiz Velasco

$82.1K Vol.

$739 Liq.

2

US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

11%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$24.0K Liq.

162

Ends in 8 months

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

12%

December 31, 2026

$185K Vol.

$41.5K Liq.

70

Ends in 8 months

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

8%

$105K Vol.

$20.6K Liq.

9

Ends in 8 months

Counter-Strike: tincan vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: tincan vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

100%

Banger Gang

$180 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: HereWeGoAgain vs Crashers (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage

Counter-Strike: HereWeGoAgain vs Crashers (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage

51%

Crashers

$12.1K Vol.

$425K Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

Counter-Strike: Banger Gang vs hindsight (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: Banger Gang vs hindsight (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

50%

hindsight

$0 Vol.

$107 Liq.

Ends in about 11 hours

Counter-Strike: FC Famalicão Esports vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: FC Famalicão Esports vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

62%

Banger Gang

$195 Vol.

$29 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Crashers vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Crashers vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs

100%

paiN Academy

$20.2K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Despedidos vs Really Gang Esports (BO3) - FiReCONTER Group B

Counter-Strike: Despedidos vs Really Gang Esports (BO3) - FiReCONTER Group B

100%

Despedidos

$1.9K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Game Hunters (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Redemption Curitiba Group B

Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Game Hunters (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Redemption Curitiba Group B

Game Hunters

$2.8K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Crashers (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Crashers (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs

100%

Vasco Esports

$1.8K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Sashi Academy (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Sashi Academy (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

100%

Rebels Gaming

$18.8K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A

Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A

100%

QUINTESSÊNCIA

$4.7K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: STATE vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group A

Counter-Strike: STATE vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group A

64%

Ursa

$16 Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Counter-Strike: Ølgod Efterskole vs SAW (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

Counter-Strike: Ølgod Efterskole vs SAW (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

100%

SAW

$8.8K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Brute vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C

Counter-Strike: Brute vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C

100%

Brute

$38.5K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stage

59%

Turma do Pagode

$0 Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Cartel.

Polymarket currently hosts 109 active markets for Cartel that lets you track or trade on predictions like “U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: Brute vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US strike on Mexico by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US strike on Mexico by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 11% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Cartel predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.