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Mexico Cartel War predictions & odds

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U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

100%

April 30

$951K Vol.

$261K today

$445K Liq.

US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

13%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

162

Ends in 8 months

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

9%

December 31, 2026

$186K Vol.

$49.2K Liq.

70

Ends in 8 months

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

8%

$105K Vol.

$32.7K Liq.

9

Ends in 8 months

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

60%

Ricardo Ruiz Velasco

$82.2K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

2

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?

19%

$6.4K Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 27 days

Czechia vs. Mexico

Czechia vs. Mexico

40%

Mexico

$55 Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Mexico vs. Korea Republic

Mexico vs. Korea Republic

55%

Mexico

$236 Vol.

$24.0K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Mexico vs. South Africa

Mexico vs. South Africa

65%

Mexico

$1.6K Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Santos Laguna - More Markets

Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Santos Laguna - More Markets

-

$31.6K Vol.

FC Juárez vs. CF Cruz Azul - More Markets

FC Juárez vs. CF Cruz Azul - More Markets

-

$30.6K Vol.

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

26%

$214K Vol.

$34.8K Liq.

15

Ends in 8 months

CF Monterrey vs. Club Tijuana - More Markets

CF Monterrey vs. Club Tijuana - More Markets

-

$17.1K Vol.

CD Guadalajara vs. Tigres de la UANL

CD Guadalajara vs. Tigres de la UANL

50%

CD Guadalajara

$35 Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Zuffa Boxing 6: Cardenas vs. Alvarado (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Zuffa Boxing 6: Cardenas vs. Alvarado (Bantamweight, Prelims)

50%

Alvarado

$0 Vol.

$45 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

10%

June 30

$23.4K Vol.

$160K Liq.

4

Ends in about 2 months

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

76%

No change

$2.0K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

8%

$271K Vol.

$255K today

$31.2K Liq.

106

Ends in 27 days

Bank of Mexico Decision in May

Bank of Mexico Decision in May

93%

Decrease

$204K Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Club Puebla vs. Deportivo Toluca FC - More Markets

Club Puebla vs. Deportivo Toluca FC - More Markets

-

$17.5K Vol.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Mexico Cartel War.

Polymarket currently hosts 128 active markets for Mexico Cartel War that lets you track or trade on predictions like “U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...? ”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US strike on Mexico by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US strike on Mexico by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 13% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Mexico Cartel War predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.