Intense competition for House control in the 2026 midterms, framed as a referendum on the Trump administration, drives trader expectations for turnout in the 115-130 million range. Low presidential approval ratings near 40 percent, Democratic advantages in generic ballot polling and special elections, and higher Democratic primary participation signal stronger opposition mobilization than in prior off-year cycles. Expanded mail and early voting options, generational shifts in eligible voters, and nationalized messaging on economic and policy issues support elevated participation relative to historical midterm baselines of 100-115 million votes. The tight spread among leading ranges reflects uncertainty over whether enthusiasm gaps will persist or weaken base turnout on either side ahead of November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado125-130 milhões 22%
115-120 milhões 21%
120-125 milhões 18%
110-115 milhões 18%
$29,536 Vol.
$29,536 Vol.
2 nov 2026
<85 milhões
1%
85-90 milhões
<1%
90-95 milhões
1%
95-100 milhões
2%
100-105 milhões
6%
105-110 milhões
8%
110-115 milhões
18%
115-120 milhões
21%
120-125 milhões
18%
125-130 milhões
22%
130 milhões+
5%
125-130 milhões 22%
115-120 milhões 21%
120-125 milhões 18%
110-115 milhões 18%
$29,536 Vol.
$29,536 Vol.
2 nov 2026
<85 milhões
$617 Vol.
1%
85-90 milhões
$619 Vol.
<1%
90-95 milhões
$1,851 Vol.
1%
95-100 milhões
$380 Vol.
2%
100-105 milhões
$1,225 Vol.
6%
105-110 milhões
$931 Vol.
8%
110-115 milhões
$4,892 Vol.
18%
115-120 milhões
$4,721 Vol.
21%
120-125 milhões
$9,374 Vol.
18%
125-130 milhões
$3,471 Vol.
22%
130 milhões+
$1,455 Vol.
5%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Intense competition for House control in the 2026 midterms, framed as a referendum on the Trump administration, drives trader expectations for turnout in the 115-130 million range. Low presidential approval ratings near 40 percent, Democratic advantages in generic ballot polling and special elections, and higher Democratic primary participation signal stronger opposition mobilization than in prior off-year cycles. Expanded mail and early voting options, generational shifts in eligible voters, and nationalized messaging on economic and policy issues support elevated participation relative to historical midterm baselines of 100-115 million votes. The tight spread among leading ranges reflects uncertainty over whether enthusiasm gaps will persist or weaken base turnout on either side ahead of November 3.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$29,536Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Intense competition for House control in the 2026 midterms, framed as a referendum on the Trump administration, drives trader expectations for turnout in the 115-130 million range. Low presidential approval ratings near 40 percent, Democratic advantages in generic ballot polling and special elections, and higher Democratic primary participation signal stronger opposition mobilization than in prior off-year cycles. Expanded mail and early voting options, generational shifts in eligible voters, and nationalized messaging on economic and policy issues support elevated participation relative to historical midterm baselines of 100-115 million votes. The tight spread among leading ranges reflects uncertainty over whether enthusiasm gaps will persist or weaken base turnout on either side ahead of November 3.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$29,536Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Intense competition for House control in the 2026 midterms, framed as a referendum on the Trump administration, drives trader expectations for turnout in the 115-130 million range. Low presidential approval ratings near 40 percent, Democratic advantages in generic ballot polling and special elections, and higher Democratic primary participation signal stronger opposition mobilization than in prior off-year cycles. Expanded mail and early voting options, generational shifts in eligible voters, and nationalized messaging on economic and policy issues support elevated participation relative to historical midterm baselines of 100-115 million votes. The tight spread among leading ranges reflects uncertainty over whether enthusiasm gaps will persist or weaken base turnout on either side ahead of November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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