Incumbent Democrat Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured a commanding lead in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 37th congressional district, advancing as the clear frontrunner in a seat rated solidly Democratic with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30. The district's voter registration and historical results in Los Angeles-area precincts have long favored Democratic candidates, producing consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. With the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026, trader consensus at 95.5% for a Democratic winner reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive Republican challengers capable of overcoming the district's baseline. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or unexpected court-ordered redistricting could still shift probabilities, though none have materialized in the current cycle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa CA-37
Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-37
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
96%
Partido Republicano
6%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$1,881 Vol.
96%
Partido Republicano
$312 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured a commanding lead in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 37th congressional district, advancing as the clear frontrunner in a seat rated solidly Democratic with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30. The district's voter registration and historical results in Los Angeles-area precincts have long favored Democratic candidates, producing consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. With the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026, trader consensus at 95.5% for a Democratic winner reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive Republican challengers capable of overcoming the district's baseline. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or unexpected court-ordered redistricting could still shift probabilities, though none have materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,192Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured a commanding lead in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 37th congressional district, advancing as the clear frontrunner in a seat rated solidly Democratic with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30. The district's voter registration and historical results in Los Angeles-area precincts have long favored Democratic candidates, producing consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. With the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026, trader consensus at 95.5% for a Democratic winner reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive Republican challengers capable of overcoming the district's baseline. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or unexpected court-ordered redistricting could still shift probabilities, though none have materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$2,192Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured a commanding lead in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 37th congressional district, advancing as the clear frontrunner in a seat rated solidly Democratic with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30. The district's voter registration and historical results in Los Angeles-area precincts have long favored Democratic candidates, producing consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. With the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026, trader consensus at 95.5% for a Democratic winner reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive Republican challengers capable of overcoming the district's baseline. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or unexpected court-ordered redistricting could still shift probabilities, though none have materialized in the current cycle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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