Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight forecast spread from KNMI and international models like ECMWF and GFS, centering Amsterdam's April 13 high temperature around 13-14°C amid northerly airflow ushering cool, moist maritime air from the North Sea. The Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute's latest update (April 10) projects a maximum of 11-14°C with increasing clouds, 60% rain chance, and light northeast winds at force 2, limiting solar insolation and diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include timing of any partial clearing—favoring 14-15°C if breaks occur midday—or persistent overcast pushing toward 12-13°C, as seen in BBC and timeanddate.com outlooks at 14°C. Mid-April climatology averages 13.5°C highs; watch tomorrow's 12Z model runs for shifts before resolution via official Schiphol observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 13?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 13?
14°C 27%
15°C 21%
13°C 19%
16°C 15%
8°C ou menos
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
5%
12°C
18%
13°C
25%
14°C
27%
15°C
21%
16°C
15%
17°C
8%
18°C or higher
2%
14°C 27%
15°C 21%
13°C 19%
16°C 15%
8°C ou menos
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
5%
12°C
18%
13°C
25%
14°C
27%
15°C
21%
16°C
15%
17°C
8%
18°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight forecast spread from KNMI and international models like ECMWF and GFS, centering Amsterdam's April 13 high temperature around 13-14°C amid northerly airflow ushering cool, moist maritime air from the North Sea. The Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute's latest update (April 10) projects a maximum of 11-14°C with increasing clouds, 60% rain chance, and light northeast winds at force 2, limiting solar insolation and diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include timing of any partial clearing—favoring 14-15°C if breaks occur midday—or persistent overcast pushing toward 12-13°C, as seen in BBC and timeanddate.com outlooks at 14°C. Mid-April climatology averages 13.5°C highs; watch tomorrow's 12Z model runs for shifts before resolution via official Schiphol observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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