KNMI's latest forecast, issued April 11, projects a maximum temperature of 14°C in Amsterdam on April 12 amid partly sunny conditions with southerly winds at force 4 and low precipitation risk (20%), anchoring trader consensus with 36% implied probability on that outcome and 25% on 15°C. This positioning reflects model consensus from ECMWF and HIRLAM ensembles showing limited convective heating potential due to shallow boundary layer depths and scattered clouds capping afternoon highs, consistent with climatological mid-April averages of 13–15°C at Schiphol Airport station. Recent observational data from early April noted cooler anomalies after a brief warm spell peaking near 20°C on April 8, introducing uncertainty from variable insolation. Hourly KNMI updates through evening will refine the peak, with potential for 1–2°C upside if clearing accelerates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 12?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 12?
14°C 37%
15°C 26%
13°C 15%
16°C 13%
$24,565 Vol.
$24,565 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
15%
14°C
37%
15°C
32%
16°C
13%
17°C or higher
3%
14°C 37%
15°C 26%
13°C 15%
16°C 13%
$24,565 Vol.
$24,565 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
15%
14°C
37%
15°C
32%
16°C
13%
17°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 8, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...KNMI's latest forecast, issued April 11, projects a maximum temperature of 14°C in Amsterdam on April 12 amid partly sunny conditions with southerly winds at force 4 and low precipitation risk (20%), anchoring trader consensus with 36% implied probability on that outcome and 25% on 15°C. This positioning reflects model consensus from ECMWF and HIRLAM ensembles showing limited convective heating potential due to shallow boundary layer depths and scattered clouds capping afternoon highs, consistent with climatological mid-April averages of 13–15°C at Schiphol Airport station. Recent observational data from early April noted cooler anomalies after a brief warm spell peaking near 20°C on April 8, introducing uncertainty from variable insolation. Hourly KNMI updates through evening will refine the peak, with potential for 1–2°C upside if clearing accelerates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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