Market consensus at 100% implied probability for a 21°C daily high in Ankara on June 14 reflects real-time observations from official Turkish Meteorological Service (MGM) stations confirming that peak temperature under cloudy, stable conditions with light winds. Multiple forecast models converged on a maximum near 20–22°C, consistent with regional climatology for mid-June and current surface measurements showing hourly readings topping out at that level without further warming expected. As resolution approaches based on the final verified daily maximum, the outcome aligns with skin-in-the-game trader assessment of authoritative data; only an unlikely post-observation correction or station anomaly would alter it.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on June 14?
21°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
$98,393 Vol.
$98,393 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
$98,393 Vol.
$98,393 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Market consensus at 100% implied probability for a 21°C daily high in Ankara on June 14 reflects real-time observations from official Turkish Meteorological Service (MGM) stations confirming that peak temperature under cloudy, stable conditions with light winds. Multiple forecast models converged on a maximum near 20–22°C, consistent with regional climatology for mid-June and current surface measurements showing hourly readings topping out at that level without further warming expected. As resolution approaches based on the final verified daily maximum, the outcome aligns with skin-in-the-game trader assessment of authoritative data; only an unlikely post-observation correction or station anomaly would alter it.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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