Trader consensus favors 84-85°F (29.5% implied probability) as Atlanta's highest temperature on March 22, propelled by the latest National Weather Service forecast pinpointing 84°F amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Southeast that promotes subsidence warming and mostly clear skies for peak insolation. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight spread averaging 83-85°F, with subtle differentiators including varying cloud cover—thinner decks in Euro runs boosting 86-87°F odds (17%) via enhanced solar heating, while slightly hazier NAM guidance tempers to 82-83°F (23%). Low soil moisture from recent dry conditions amplifies daytime highs, though light southerly winds and potential afternoon cumulus could shave 1-2°F, heightening uncertainty in this closely matched field against March norms of 68°F. Key watch: afternoon model updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Atlanta on March 22?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 22?
84-85°F 30%
82-83°F 23%
86-87°F 17%
80-81°F 11%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
23%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
4%
84-85°F 30%
82-83°F 23%
86-87°F 17%
80-81°F 11%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
23%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 84-85°F (29.5% implied probability) as Atlanta's highest temperature on March 22, propelled by the latest National Weather Service forecast pinpointing 84°F amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Southeast that promotes subsidence warming and mostly clear skies for peak insolation. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight spread averaging 83-85°F, with subtle differentiators including varying cloud cover—thinner decks in Euro runs boosting 86-87°F odds (17%) via enhanced solar heating, while slightly hazier NAM guidance tempers to 82-83°F (23%). Low soil moisture from recent dry conditions amplifies daytime highs, though light southerly winds and potential afternoon cumulus could shave 1-2°F, heightening uncertainty in this closely matched field against March norms of 68°F. Key watch: afternoon model updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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