Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature of 24°C at 41.5% implied probability for Chengdu on April 15, reflecting tight alignment across latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which converge on a daytime peak near 24°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity around 65-70%. This positioning stems from recent observational data showing morning lows near 16°C with gradual warming under weak high-pressure influence, following slightly warmer conditions earlier in the week (e.g., 27°C highs around April 4). Springtime frontal systems in the Sichuan Basin introduce uncertainty, with cloud cover potentially capping peaks at 23-25°C; real-time station measurements today will refine the outcome as the afternoon progresses. Historical April averages hover at 22°C, underscoring the mild consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chengdu no dia 15 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Chengdu no dia 15 de abril?
24°C 41%
25°C 29%
23°C 24%
22°C 7%
NOVO
$36,167 Vol.
NOVO
$36,167 Vol.
15 abr 2026
17°C ou menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
24%
24°C
41%
25°C
29%
26°C
5%
27°C ou mais
1%
24°C 41%
25°C 29%
23°C 24%
22°C 7%
NOVO
$36,167 Vol.
NOVO
$36,167 Vol.
15 abr 2026
17°C ou menos
$5,900 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,313 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,066 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,464 Vol.
1%
21°C
$3,353 Vol.
2%
22°C
$3,095 Vol.
7%
23°C
$2,428 Vol.
24%
24°C
$1,312 Vol.
41%
25°C
$2,257 Vol.
29%
26°C
$6,136 Vol.
5%
27°C ou mais
$4,686 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature of 24°C at 41.5% implied probability for Chengdu on April 15, reflecting tight alignment across latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which converge on a daytime peak near 24°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity around 65-70%. This positioning stems from recent observational data showing morning lows near 16°C with gradual warming under weak high-pressure influence, following slightly warmer conditions earlier in the week (e.g., 27°C highs around April 4). Springtime frontal systems in the Sichuan Basin introduce uncertainty, with cloud cover potentially capping peaks at 23-25°C; real-time station measurements today will refine the outcome as the afternoon progresses. Historical April averages hover at 22°C, underscoring the mild consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$36,167Data de Término
15 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature of 24°C at 41.5% implied probability for Chengdu on April 15, reflecting tight alignment across latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which converge on a daytime peak near 24°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity around 65-70%. This positioning stems from recent observational data showing morning lows near 16°C with gradual warming under weak high-pressure influence, following slightly warmer conditions earlier in the week (e.g., 27°C highs around April 4). Springtime frontal systems in the Sichuan Basin introduce uncertainty, with cloud cover potentially capping peaks at 23-25°C; real-time station measurements today will refine the outcome as the afternoon progresses. Historical April averages hover at 22°C, underscoring the mild consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$36,167Data de Término
15 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature of 24°C at 41.5% implied probability for Chengdu on April 15, reflecting tight alignment across latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which converge on a daytime peak near 24°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity around 65-70%. This positioning stems from recent observational data showing morning lows near 16°C with gradual warming under weak high-pressure influence, following slightly warmer conditions earlier in the week (e.g., 27°C highs around April 4). Springtime frontal systems in the Sichuan Basin introduce uncertainty, with cloud cover potentially capping peaks at 23-25°C; real-time station measurements today will refine the outcome as the afternoon progresses. Historical April averages hover at 22°C, underscoring the mild consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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