Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high temperature of 66-67°F (35.5% implied probability) for Denver on April 15, slightly above the National Weather Service (NWS) climatological normal of 61°F, driven by ensemble forecast uncertainty amid variable cloud cover and breezy conditions. Latest NWS Boulder guidance projects a daytime high near 61-62°F with showers likely this afternoon due to lingering moisture from a recent upper-level trough that brought cooler mid-level air and precipitation overnight, capping insolation after warmer early-week readings in the 70s. Model spreads, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, show some members favoring partial clearing and highs in the mid-60s, positioning 68-69°F (24%) and 64-65°F (21.5%) as close contenders. Afternoon observations and NWS updates will clarify as boundary layer mixing and solar heating evolve, with resolution via official NWS daily climatological report at Denver International Airport.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on April 15?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 15?
66-67°F 36%
68-69°F 24%
64-65°F 22%
70-71°F 6.0%
$24,146 Vol.
$24,146 Vol.
55°F ou menos
1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
22%
66-67°F
36%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
2%
74°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 36%
68-69°F 24%
64-65°F 22%
70-71°F 6.0%
$24,146 Vol.
$24,146 Vol.
55°F ou menos
1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
22%
66-67°F
36%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
2%
74°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high temperature of 66-67°F (35.5% implied probability) for Denver on April 15, slightly above the National Weather Service (NWS) climatological normal of 61°F, driven by ensemble forecast uncertainty amid variable cloud cover and breezy conditions. Latest NWS Boulder guidance projects a daytime high near 61-62°F with showers likely this afternoon due to lingering moisture from a recent upper-level trough that brought cooler mid-level air and precipitation overnight, capping insolation after warmer early-week readings in the 70s. Model spreads, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, show some members favoring partial clearing and highs in the mid-60s, positioning 68-69°F (24%) and 64-65°F (21.5%) as close contenders. Afternoon observations and NWS updates will clarify as boundary layer mixing and solar heating evolve, with resolution via official NWS daily climatological report at Denver International Airport.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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