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icon for Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 13 de junho?

Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 13 de junho?

icon for Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 13 de junho?

Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 13 de junho?

Ended: jun 13

jul 30

jul 31

ago 1

Ended: jun 13

jul 30

jul 31

ago 1

30°C 100.0%

25°C ou menos <1%

26°C <1%

27°C <1%

Polymarket

$279,747 Vol.

30°C 100.0%

25°C ou menos <1%

26°C <1%

27°C <1%

Polymarket

$279,747 Vol.

25°C ou menos

$5,463 Vol.

Não

26°C

$5,714 Vol.

Não

27°C

$34,271 Vol.

Não

28°C

$32,178 Vol.

Não

29°C

$33,884 Vol.

Não

30°C

$69,516 Vol.

Sim

31°C

$33,249 Vol.

No

32°C

$40,774 Vol.

No

33°C

$14,209 Vol.

No

34°C

$4,087 Vol.

Não

35°C ou mais

$6,403 Vol.

Não

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has converged on 30°C as the official highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on June 13, 2026, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory’s standard daily maximum at its headquarters.** June climatology places typical daytime highs near 30°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and subtropical high-pressure systems, with seasonal outlooks from the Observatory projecting above-normal temperatures for the month. Observational data around mid-June showed no significant synoptic disruptions such as strong cold fronts, tropical cyclone activity, or anomalous cloud cover that would deviate from this baseline. Minor forecast adjustments from models like those referenced in regional guidance consistently aligned with this range, reinforcing the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges to this resolution remain limited to potential revisions in official station data, differences in measurement timing, or localized urban heat-island effects not captured in the primary record.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$279,747
Data de Término
13 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has converged on 30°C as the official highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on June 13, 2026, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory’s standard daily maximum at its headquarters.** June climatology places typical daytime highs near 30°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and subtropical high-pressure systems, with seasonal outlooks from the Observatory projecting above-normal temperatures for the month. Observational data around mid-June showed no significant synoptic disruptions such as strong cold fronts, tropical cyclone activity, or anomalous cloud cover that would deviate from this baseline. Minor forecast adjustments from models like those referenced in regional guidance consistently aligned with this range, reinforcing the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges to this resolution remain limited to potential revisions in official station data, differences in measurement timing, or localized urban heat-island effects not captured in the primary record.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$279,747
Data de Término
13 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 13 de junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30°C" at 100%, followed by "25°C ou menos" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 13 de junho?" has generated $279.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 13 de junho?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 13 de junho?" is "30°C" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "25°C ou menos" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 13 de junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.