**Trader consensus at 100% for 23°C reflects the tight convergence of official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models on a maximum temperature of 23°C for Jinan on September 8.** A cold-air outbreak has driven northerly winds and cloud cover, suppressing daytime heating and producing a sharp drop from prior days' highs near 32°C. Current observations and model runs, including ECMWF and GFS, show afternoon peaks stabilizing near 22–24°C under overcast skies with minimal solar insolation. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by local stations; only a substantial model bias or unexpected clearing could push readings outside the 23°C bin, an outcome now considered highly improbable given the advanced stage of the diurnal cycle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Jinan em 8 de setembro?
23°C 100.0%
16°C ou menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$10,298 Vol.
$10,298 Vol.
16°C ou menos
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Sim
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C ou mais
Não
23°C 100.0%
16°C ou menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$10,298 Vol.
$10,298 Vol.
16°C ou menos
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Sim
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C ou mais
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Trader consensus at 100% for 23°C reflects the tight convergence of official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models on a maximum temperature of 23°C for Jinan on September 8.** A cold-air outbreak has driven northerly winds and cloud cover, suppressing daytime heating and producing a sharp drop from prior days' highs near 32°C. Current observations and model runs, including ECMWF and GFS, show afternoon peaks stabilizing near 22–24°C under overcast skies with minimal solar insolation. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by local stations; only a substantial model bias or unexpected clearing could push readings outside the 23°C bin, an outcome now considered highly improbable given the advanced stage of the diurnal cycle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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