**Forecast models from multiple sources, including AccuWeather, WeatherBug, and Chinese meteorological outlets, converge on a daytime high of 28–30°C for Wuhan on September 11, 2026, with 29°C emerging as the most probable peak.** This aligns with the market-implied odds, where 29°C leads at 42.5%, followed by 28°C at 29.5% and 30°C at 15%. Wuhan’s humid subtropical climate in early September typically features moderating temperatures after summer peaks, supported here by clear to partly cloudy conditions, light northeast winds, low precipitation risk, and stable high pressure allowing efficient daytime solar heating. Recent data show today’s high near 26–27°C under similar patterns, with a warming trend expected tomorrow as any residual cool air influence diminishes. Official and ensemble forecasts highlight minimal model spread in this narrow range, reflecting low uncertainty from absent major weather systems or fronts. Traders appear to weight the consensus around 29°C most heavily, consistent with historical late-summer baselines for the region and the absence of disruptive variables like significant cloud cover or moisture. Updated model runs or morning observations could refine the exact peak before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wuhan em 11 de setembro?
29°C 43%
28°C 30%
30°C 17%
27°C 6%
$10,506 Vol.
$10,506 Vol.
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
30%
29°C
43%
30°C
17%
31°C
4%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou mais
<1%
29°C 43%
28°C 30%
30°C 17%
27°C 6%
$10,506 Vol.
$10,506 Vol.
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
30%
29°C
43%
30°C
17%
31°C
4%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from multiple sources, including AccuWeather, WeatherBug, and Chinese meteorological outlets, converge on a daytime high of 28–30°C for Wuhan on September 11, 2026, with 29°C emerging as the most probable peak.** This aligns with the market-implied odds, where 29°C leads at 42.5%, followed by 28°C at 29.5% and 30°C at 15%. Wuhan’s humid subtropical climate in early September typically features moderating temperatures after summer peaks, supported here by clear to partly cloudy conditions, light northeast winds, low precipitation risk, and stable high pressure allowing efficient daytime solar heating. Recent data show today’s high near 26–27°C under similar patterns, with a warming trend expected tomorrow as any residual cool air influence diminishes. Official and ensemble forecasts highlight minimal model spread in this narrow range, reflecting low uncertainty from absent major weather systems or fronts. Traders appear to weight the consensus around 29°C most heavily, consistent with historical late-summer baselines for the region and the absence of disruptive variables like significant cloud cover or moisture. Updated model runs or morning observations could refine the exact peak before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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