**Trader consensus centers on 21°C as the daily maximum temperature in Paris on September 10, 2026, with near-certain market-implied odds reflecting real-time meteorological observations.** Official forecasts and station data indicate a peak of approximately 21–23°C (70–73°F) during the afternoon under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 5–10 km/h, and stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, where the long-term average high is roughly 22°C, and no anomalous warming or cooling events altered the pattern. Evening readings fell to 18–20°C, confirming the daytime high. The strong scientific backing comes from consistent model runs (e.g., GFS) and surface observations showing minimal diurnal variability and no convective activity to drive outliers. Only narrow scenarios—such as a last-minute station-specific spike above 22°C or measurement revision—could shift the outcome, though current data make these improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 10 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 10 de setembro?
21°C 100.0%
17°C ou menos <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$65,979 Vol.
$65,979 Vol.
10 set 2026
17°C ou menos
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Sim
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C ou mais
Não
21°C 100.0%
17°C ou menos <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$65,979 Vol.
$65,979 Vol.
10 set 2026
17°C ou menos
$5,843 Vol.
Não
18°C
$2,158 Vol.
Não
19°C
$2,133 Vol.
Não
20°C
$7,484 Vol.
Não
21°C
$17,134 Vol.
Sim
22°C
$9,033 Vol.
Não
23°C
$12,230 Vol.
Não
24°C
$3,998 Vol.
Não
25°C
$3,147 Vol.
Não
26°C
$1,497 Vol.
Não
27°C ou mais
$1,321 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 21°C as the daily maximum temperature in Paris on September 10, 2026, with near-certain market-implied odds reflecting real-time meteorological observations.**
Official forecasts and station data indicate a peak of approximately 21–23°C (70–73°F) during the afternoon under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 5–10 km/h, and stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, where the long-term average high is roughly 22°C, and no anomalous warming or cooling events altered the pattern. Evening readings fell to 18–20°C, confirming the daytime high.
The strong scientific backing comes from consistent model runs (e.g., GFS) and surface observations showing minimal diurnal variability and no convective activity to drive outliers. Only narrow scenarios—such as a last-minute station-specific spike above 22°C or measurement revision—could shift the outcome, though current data make these improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$65,979Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 21°C as the daily maximum temperature in Paris on September 10, 2026, with near-certain market-implied odds reflecting real-time meteorological observations.**
Official forecasts and station data indicate a peak of approximately 21–23°C (70–73°F) during the afternoon under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 5–10 km/h, and stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, where the long-term average high is roughly 22°C, and no anomalous warming or cooling events altered the pattern. Evening readings fell to 18–20°C, confirming the daytime high.
The strong scientific backing comes from consistent model runs (e.g., GFS) and surface observations showing minimal diurnal variability and no convective activity to drive outliers. Only narrow scenarios—such as a last-minute station-specific spike above 22°C or measurement revision—could shift the outcome, though current data make these improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$65,979Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Trader consensus centers on 21°C as the daily maximum temperature in Paris on September 10, 2026, with near-certain market-implied odds reflecting real-time meteorological observations.** Official forecasts and station data indicate a peak of approximately 21–23°C (70–73°F) during the afternoon under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 5–10 km/h, and stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, where the long-term average high is roughly 22°C, and no anomalous warming or cooling events altered the pattern. Evening readings fell to 18–20°C, confirming the daytime high. The strong scientific backing comes from consistent model runs (e.g., GFS) and surface observations showing minimal diurnal variability and no convective activity to drive outliers. Only narrow scenarios—such as a last-minute station-specific spike above 22°C or measurement revision—could shift the outcome, though current data make these improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions