**Widespread monsoon-driven cloud cover and thunderstorms expected across Lucknow on September 11 are the main factors keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 32°C and 33°C.** Official forecasts from multiple models indicate highs near 31–33°C under easterly flow, with high humidity and frequent convective activity limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima. Recent surface observations show similar conditions with dew points near 26–27°C and scattered showers already suppressing temperatures. Slight model differences in the timing and coverage of storms create the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 34°C or above reflect the reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations tomorrow will refine the exact peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 11 de setembro?
33°C 39%
32°C 38%
34°C 11%
31°C 10%
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
10%
32°C
38%
33°C
39%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C ou mais
1%
33°C 39%
32°C 38%
34°C 11%
31°C 10%
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
10%
32°C
38%
33°C
39%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Widespread monsoon-driven cloud cover and thunderstorms expected across Lucknow on September 11 are the main factors keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 32°C and 33°C.** Official forecasts from multiple models indicate highs near 31–33°C under easterly flow, with high humidity and frequent convective activity limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima. Recent surface observations show similar conditions with dew points near 26–27°C and scattered showers already suppressing temperatures. Slight model differences in the timing and coverage of storms create the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 34°C or above reflect the reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations tomorrow will refine the exact peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions