The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecasts indicate Mexico City highs of 24-27°C on April 12, driving the market's 92% implied probability for 23°C or higher, as trader consensus reflects robust numerical weather prediction model agreement and recent observational data showing daytime maxima consistently above 24°C amid dry-season subsidence. At 2240m elevation, April climatology supports average highs near 26°C with minimal variance below 23°C historically, bolstered by clear skies and southerly flows limiting cold air intrusions. Realistic challenges include unexpected northern cold fronts or prolonged chubascos reducing solar insolation, though low-probability given current upper-level patterns; monitor SMN's next extended forecast update for refinements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 12?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 12?
23°C or higher 91%
22°C 5.3%
21°C <1%
14°C <1%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
91%
23°C or higher 91%
22°C 5.3%
21°C <1%
14°C <1%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
91%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecasts indicate Mexico City highs of 24-27°C on April 12, driving the market's 92% implied probability for 23°C or higher, as trader consensus reflects robust numerical weather prediction model agreement and recent observational data showing daytime maxima consistently above 24°C amid dry-season subsidence. At 2240m elevation, April climatology supports average highs near 26°C with minimal variance below 23°C historically, bolstered by clear skies and southerly flows limiting cold air intrusions. Realistic challenges include unexpected northern cold fronts or prolonged chubascos reducing solar insolation, though low-probability given current upper-level patterns; monitor SMN's next extended forecast update for refinements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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