Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 78% implied probability for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 25°C or higher on April 13, driven by the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models like AccuWeather projecting daytime highs of 24-27°C amid mostly clear skies and light winds. April's dry season climatology, with historical average maximums around 26°C at Benito Juárez International Airport—the official measurement site—supports this positioning, as high solar angles and the city's 2,240-meter elevation enable strong diurnal heating under stable high-pressure conditions. Today's observed highs near 21-23°C under partial cloudiness have given way to sunnier outlooks, though lingering haze or unexpected clouds could cap temps at 24°C, explaining the secondary 20% odds there. New SMN updates expected overnight may refine these model runs before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 13?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 13?
25°C or higher 82%
24°C 14%
23°C 3.7%
21°C <1%
$22,814 Vol.
$22,814 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
14%
25°C or higher
82%
25°C or higher 82%
24°C 14%
23°C 3.7%
21°C <1%
$22,814 Vol.
$22,814 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
14%
25°C or higher
82%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 78% implied probability for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 25°C or higher on April 13, driven by the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models like AccuWeather projecting daytime highs of 24-27°C amid mostly clear skies and light winds. April's dry season climatology, with historical average maximums around 26°C at Benito Juárez International Airport—the official measurement site—supports this positioning, as high solar angles and the city's 2,240-meter elevation enable strong diurnal heating under stable high-pressure conditions. Today's observed highs near 21-23°C under partial cloudiness have given way to sunnier outlooks, though lingering haze or unexpected clouds could cap temps at 24°C, explaining the secondary 20% odds there. New SMN updates expected overnight may refine these model runs before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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