Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Chengdu's highest temperature on April 12 at 24°C or higher (66.5% implied probability), aligned with the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast projecting a daytime high of 24°C under cloudy conditions transitioning to light rain, with light winds below 3 m/s. This positioning reflects recent observational data, including April 10's observed peak near 23°C amid overcast skies and April 11's morning readings in the mid-teens°C steadily rising toward a forecasted 24°C high despite light precipitation. Mid-April climatology in the Chengdu Basin typically sees highs around 23°C, with warming diurnal trends and low-level moisture limiting extremes, though model ensembles show slight upside potential to 25°C if clouds thin. Updated CMA advisories expected later today could refine intraday trajectories ahead of resolution via official station measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 12?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 12?
24°C or higher 69%
23°C 18%
22°C 9%
21°C 2.8%
$21,342 Vol.
$21,342 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
9%
23°C
18%
24°C or higher
69%
24°C or higher 69%
23°C 18%
22°C 9%
21°C 2.8%
$21,342 Vol.
$21,342 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
9%
23°C
18%
24°C or higher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Chengdu's highest temperature on April 12 at 24°C or higher (66.5% implied probability), aligned with the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast projecting a daytime high of 24°C under cloudy conditions transitioning to light rain, with light winds below 3 m/s. This positioning reflects recent observational data, including April 10's observed peak near 23°C amid overcast skies and April 11's morning readings in the mid-teens°C steadily rising toward a forecasted 24°C high despite light precipitation. Mid-April climatology in the Chengdu Basin typically sees highs around 23°C, with warming diurnal trends and low-level moisture limiting extremes, though model ensembles show slight upside potential to 25°C if clouds thin. Updated CMA advisories expected later today could refine intraday trajectories ahead of resolution via official station measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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