Traders see the highest temperature in Mexico City on July 17 as most likely 23–24°C because current model consensus from regional and global ensembles shows afternoon peaks in that narrow range under typical July highland conditions. Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation and urban heat island moderate extremes, while variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and steering winds create the main uncertainty separating 23°C from 24°C outcomes. Recent model runs have tightened around these values with limited spread, keeping 25°C as a plausible upside scenario and sub-22°C probabilities low given seasonal baselines. New observational data and updated forecasts tomorrow morning will likely refine the final distribution before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 17 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 17 de julho?
24°C 100.0%
18°C ou menos <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$31,321 Vol.
$31,321 Vol.
17 jul 2026
18°C ou menos
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Sim
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C ou mais
Não
24°C 100.0%
18°C ou menos <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$31,321 Vol.
$31,321 Vol.
17 jul 2026
18°C ou menos
$686 Vol.
Não
19°C
$1,551 Vol.
Não
20°C
$1,442 Vol.
Não
21°C
$4,882 Vol.
Não
22°C
$3,148 Vol.
Não
23°C
$4,315 Vol.
Não
24°C
$7,914 Vol.
Sim
25°C
$2,622 Vol.
Não
26°C
$1,900 Vol.
Não
27°C
$1,702 Vol.
Não
28°C ou mais
$1,160 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Mexico City on July 17 as most likely 23–24°C because current model consensus from regional and global ensembles shows afternoon peaks in that narrow range under typical July highland conditions. Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation and urban heat island moderate extremes, while variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and steering winds create the main uncertainty separating 23°C from 24°C outcomes. Recent model runs have tightened around these values with limited spread, keeping 25°C as a plausible upside scenario and sub-22°C probabilities low given seasonal baselines. New observational data and updated forecasts tomorrow morning will likely refine the final distribution before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$31,321Data de Término
17 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Mexico City on July 17 as most likely 23–24°C because current model consensus from regional and global ensembles shows afternoon peaks in that narrow range under typical July highland conditions. Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation and urban heat island moderate extremes, while variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and steering winds create the main uncertainty separating 23°C from 24°C outcomes. Recent model runs have tightened around these values with limited spread, keeping 25°C as a plausible upside scenario and sub-22°C probabilities low given seasonal baselines. New observational data and updated forecasts tomorrow morning will likely refine the final distribution before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,321Data de Término
17 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Traders see the highest temperature in Mexico City on July 17 as most likely 23–24°C because current model consensus from regional and global ensembles shows afternoon peaks in that narrow range under typical July highland conditions. Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation and urban heat island moderate extremes, while variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and steering winds create the main uncertainty separating 23°C from 24°C outcomes. Recent model runs have tightened around these values with limited spread, keeping 25°C as a plausible upside scenario and sub-22°C probabilities low given seasonal baselines. New observational data and updated forecasts tomorrow morning will likely refine the final distribution before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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