Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Munich's highest temperature today, with implied odds clustering around 14–16°C due to a recent shift to mild southerly airflow advecting warmer air masses northward after yesterday's cooler 11°C high amid showers. Deutscher Wetterdienst observations and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show model spreads of 2–3°C, driven by variable cloud cover persistence post-frontal clearing and light northwest winds potentially capping peaks; partial afternoon sunshine could push toward 16°C or higher if mixing enhances boundary layer warmth. Historical mid-April highs average 13–14°C, underscoring spring variability, with real-time DWD station data through evening poised to resolve intraday fluctuations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on April 15?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 15?
15°C 32%
14°C 28%
16°C or higher 28%
13°C 11.2%
$47,063 Vol.
$47,063 Vol.
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
11%
14°C
28%
15°C
32%
16°C or higher
28%
15°C 32%
14°C 28%
16°C or higher 28%
13°C 11.2%
$47,063 Vol.
$47,063 Vol.
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
11%
14°C
28%
15°C
32%
16°C or higher
28%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Munich's highest temperature today, with implied odds clustering around 14–16°C due to a recent shift to mild southerly airflow advecting warmer air masses northward after yesterday's cooler 11°C high amid showers. Deutscher Wetterdienst observations and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show model spreads of 2–3°C, driven by variable cloud cover persistence post-frontal clearing and light northwest winds potentially capping peaks; partial afternoon sunshine could push toward 16°C or higher if mixing enhances boundary layer warmth. Historical mid-April highs average 13–14°C, underscoring spring variability, with real-time DWD station data through evening poised to resolve intraday fluctuations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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