Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 18°C high at 42.5% implied probability for Paris today, closely trailed by 19°C at 30.5%, reflecting the latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peak temperatures in this range under a high-pressure ridge delivering mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and ample solar heating. Recent developments include yesterday's observed 18°C maximum amid a mild Île-de-France spell, with model consensus tightening after morning soundings confirmed stable atmospheric conditions and minimal cloud interference. Urban heat island effects at the official Paris-Montsouris station could nudge readings higher, though GFS shows slight cooler bias; hourly observations through afternoon will refine outcomes as resolution nears. Climatological April highs average 16°C, underscoring the above-normal warmth driven by persistent blocking patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 15 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 15 de abril?
18°C 43%
19°C 31%
17°C 15.0%
20°C 9%
$55,484 Vol.
$55,484 Vol.
14°C ou menos
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
15%
18°C
43%
19°C
31%
20°C
9%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C ou mais
<1%
18°C 43%
19°C 31%
17°C 15.0%
20°C 9%
$55,484 Vol.
$55,484 Vol.
14°C ou menos
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
15%
18°C
43%
19°C
31%
20°C
9%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 18°C high at 42.5% implied probability for Paris today, closely trailed by 19°C at 30.5%, reflecting the latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peak temperatures in this range under a high-pressure ridge delivering mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and ample solar heating. Recent developments include yesterday's observed 18°C maximum amid a mild Île-de-France spell, with model consensus tightening after morning soundings confirmed stable atmospheric conditions and minimal cloud interference. Urban heat island effects at the official Paris-Montsouris station could nudge readings higher, though GFS shows slight cooler bias; hourly observations through afternoon will refine outcomes as resolution nears. Climatological April highs average 16°C, underscoring the above-normal warmth driven by persistent blocking patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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