Trader consensus on Polymarket centers around 27–29°C maxima for São Paulo on April 16, with 28°C leading at 31.5% implied probability, closely mirroring the latest Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) forecast of a 28°C high amid mostly cloudy skies and high humidity near 100%. This positioning reflects short-range model consensus from recent runs, where persistent cloud cover from lingering moisture after early April's above-average rains limits peak heating, though brief afternoon clearing in ensemble spreads could elevate to 29°C or dip to 27°C under thicker overcast. April climatology shows average highs of 25–26°C, but current synoptic patterns favor mild warmth; final INMET hourly observations will clarify as diurnal solar forcing interacts with boundary layer stability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 16?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 16?
28°C 31%
29°C 28%
27°C 22%
26°C 11%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
11%
27°C
22%
28°C
31%
29°C
28%
30°C
9%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 31%
29°C 28%
27°C 22%
26°C 11%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
11%
27°C
22%
28°C
31%
29°C
28%
30°C
9%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket centers around 27–29°C maxima for São Paulo on April 16, with 28°C leading at 31.5% implied probability, closely mirroring the latest Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) forecast of a 28°C high amid mostly cloudy skies and high humidity near 100%. This positioning reflects short-range model consensus from recent runs, where persistent cloud cover from lingering moisture after early April's above-average rains limits peak heating, though brief afternoon clearing in ensemble spreads could elevate to 29°C or dip to 27°C under thicker overcast. April climatology shows average highs of 25–26°C, but current synoptic patterns favor mild warmth; final INMET hourly observations will clarify as diurnal solar forcing interacts with boundary layer stability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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