Latest short-range forecasts from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS drive the tight clustering around 21–23°C for São Paulo’s August 25 maximum, reflecting southeasterly flow and limited daytime heating under a stable subtropical ridge during Southern Hemisphere winter. Historical August averages near 23°C provide baseline context, yet recent model runs trending 1–2°C cooler due to increased cloud cover and modest moisture advection sustain trader focus on the narrow 21–23°C band. Minor shifts in forecast dew points or wind speeds could tip resolution between these closely matched outcomes, with final station observations expected to resolve the market by evening local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 25 de agosto?
22°C 33%
23°C 25%
21°C 18%
19°C 8%
18°C or below
2%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C
18%
22°C
33%
23°C
25%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
22°C 33%
23°C 25%
21°C 18%
19°C 8%
18°C or below
2%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C
18%
22°C
33%
23°C
25%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecasts from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS drive the tight clustering around 21–23°C for São Paulo’s August 25 maximum, reflecting southeasterly flow and limited daytime heating under a stable subtropical ridge during Southern Hemisphere winter. Historical August averages near 23°C provide baseline context, yet recent model runs trending 1–2°C cooler due to increased cloud cover and modest moisture advection sustain trader focus on the narrow 21–23°C band. Minor shifts in forecast dew points or wind speeds could tip resolution between these closely matched outcomes, with final station observations expected to resolve the market by evening local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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