Official observations from São Paulo weather stations recorded a minimum air temperature of 14°C overnight on August 25, 2026, matching the consensus of numerical weather models and the month's climatological average low near 12–14°C during the Southern Hemisphere winter. High pressure, light winds, and clear-to-partly cloudy skies limited radiational cooling while preventing stronger cold advection, keeping the reading within the narrow band expected for the date. The market-implied 97.5% probability on 14°C reflects this alignment of real-time data and historical precedent, with only remote scenarios such as a late model revision, station-specific microclimate anomaly, or measurement adjustment able to shift the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em São Paulo no dia 25 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em São Paulo no dia 25 de agosto?
14°C 100.0%
9°C ou menos <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$11,786 Vol.
$11,786 Vol.
25 ago 2026
9°C ou menos
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Sim
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C ou mais
Não
14°C 100.0%
9°C ou menos <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$11,786 Vol.
$11,786 Vol.
25 ago 2026
9°C ou menos
$436 Vol.
Não
10°C
$251 Vol.
Não
11°C
$99 Vol.
Não
12°C
$387 Vol.
Não
13°C
$108 Vol.
Não
14°C
$270 Vol.
Sim
15°C
$4,071 Vol.
Não
16°C
$3,199 Vol.
Não
17°C
$2,275 Vol.
Não
18°C
$480 Vol.
Não
19°C ou mais
$210 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from São Paulo weather stations recorded a minimum air temperature of 14°C overnight on August 25, 2026, matching the consensus of numerical weather models and the month's climatological average low near 12–14°C during the Southern Hemisphere winter. High pressure, light winds, and clear-to-partly cloudy skies limited radiational cooling while preventing stronger cold advection, keeping the reading within the narrow band expected for the date. The market-implied 97.5% probability on 14°C reflects this alignment of real-time data and historical precedent, with only remote scenarios such as a late model revision, station-specific microclimate anomaly, or measurement adjustment able to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 23, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$11,786Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from São Paulo weather stations recorded a minimum air temperature of 14°C overnight on August 25, 2026, matching the consensus of numerical weather models and the month's climatological average low near 12–14°C during the Southern Hemisphere winter. High pressure, light winds, and clear-to-partly cloudy skies limited radiational cooling while preventing stronger cold advection, keeping the reading within the narrow band expected for the date. The market-implied 97.5% probability on 14°C reflects this alignment of real-time data and historical precedent, with only remote scenarios such as a late model revision, station-specific microclimate anomaly, or measurement adjustment able to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,786Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official observations from São Paulo weather stations recorded a minimum air temperature of 14°C overnight on August 25, 2026, matching the consensus of numerical weather models and the month's climatological average low near 12–14°C during the Southern Hemisphere winter. High pressure, light winds, and clear-to-partly cloudy skies limited radiational cooling while preventing stronger cold advection, keeping the reading within the narrow band expected for the date. The market-implied 97.5% probability on 14°C reflects this alignment of real-time data and historical precedent, with only remote scenarios such as a late model revision, station-specific microclimate anomaly, or measurement adjustment able to shift the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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