Official forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and numerical models indicate a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 12, 2026, driven by clear skies, light northwest winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late Mediterranean summer. This aligns with observed afternoon readings near 31°C and climatological norms for the date. The market’s 99% implied probability on 32°C reflects trader consensus on these persistent atmospheric patterns. A realistic challenge could arise from an unexpected increase in cloud cover, a shift in wind direction reducing daytime heating, or a model revision incorporating localized sea-breeze effects that cap the peak below 32°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 12 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 12 de setembro?
32°C 99.4%
33°C 2%
28°C ou menos <1%
29°C <1%
$23,881 Vol.
$23,881 Vol.
12 set 2026
28°C ou menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
99%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C ou mais
<1%
32°C 99.4%
33°C 2%
28°C ou menos <1%
29°C <1%
$23,881 Vol.
$23,881 Vol.
12 set 2026
28°C ou menos
$442 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$835 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,433 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$8,139 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$4,727 Vol.
99%
33°C
$3,494 Vol.
2%
34°C
$1,885 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$320 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$320 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,228 Vol.
<1%
38°C ou mais
$1,059 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and numerical models indicate a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 12, 2026, driven by clear skies, light northwest winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late Mediterranean summer. This aligns with observed afternoon readings near 31°C and climatological norms for the date. The market’s 99% implied probability on 32°C reflects trader consensus on these persistent atmospheric patterns. A realistic challenge could arise from an unexpected increase in cloud cover, a shift in wind direction reducing daytime heating, or a model revision incorporating localized sea-breeze effects that cap the peak below 32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$23,881Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and numerical models indicate a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 12, 2026, driven by clear skies, light northwest winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late Mediterranean summer. This aligns with observed afternoon readings near 31°C and climatological norms for the date. The market’s 99% implied probability on 32°C reflects trader consensus on these persistent atmospheric patterns. A realistic challenge could arise from an unexpected increase in cloud cover, a shift in wind direction reducing daytime heating, or a model revision incorporating localized sea-breeze effects that cap the peak below 32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,881Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and numerical models indicate a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 12, 2026, driven by clear skies, light northwest winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late Mediterranean summer. This aligns with observed afternoon readings near 31°C and climatological norms for the date. The market’s 99% implied probability on 32°C reflects trader consensus on these persistent atmospheric patterns. A realistic challenge could arise from an unexpected increase in cloud cover, a shift in wind direction reducing daytime heating, or a model revision incorporating localized sea-breeze effects that cap the peak below 32°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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