Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 5, establishing this narrow range as the dominant driver behind the market-implied probabilities, with 32°C holding the clearest lead at 63.5%. Stable high pressure, westerly winds, and minimal cloud cover support typical early-September Mediterranean conditions without significant heat advection or cooling fronts expected in the next 48 hours. Historical baselines for the period align closely with these values, and recent observations show only modest day-to-day variability above seasonal averages. Updated runs from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service or global ensembles will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 5 de setembro?
32°C 63%
31°C 22%
33°C 20%
34°C 16%
29°C ou menos
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
22%
32°C
63%
33°C
20%
34°C
16%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C ou mais
2%
32°C 63%
31°C 22%
33°C 20%
34°C 16%
29°C ou menos
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
22%
32°C
63%
33°C
20%
34°C
16%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C ou mais
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 5, establishing this narrow range as the dominant driver behind the market-implied probabilities, with 32°C holding the clearest lead at 63.5%. Stable high pressure, westerly winds, and minimal cloud cover support typical early-September Mediterranean conditions without significant heat advection or cooling fronts expected in the next 48 hours. Historical baselines for the period align closely with these values, and recent observations show only modest day-to-day variability above seasonal averages. Updated runs from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service or global ensembles will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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