Recent forecast model consensus from sources including NOAA-aligned and European ensembles positions Tel Aviv's September 3 maximum near 31–32 °C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 32 °C. Early-September climatology shows a baseline high of ~29.6 °C under typical Mediterranean subsidence and light northwesterly flow; current observations and 48-hour guidance indicate minimal deviation, with partly cloudy skies, dew points near 22 °C, and no incoming trough or Saharan air mass to drive anomalies. Stable pressure fields and light winds limit diurnal range, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around the 32–33 °C outcomes while leaving modest room for model spread or local urban heat effects. Updated runs ahead of landfall timing will refine these probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv no dia 3 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv no dia 3 de setembro?
32°C 69%
33°C 24%
31°C 8%
30°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
69%
33°C
24%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 69%
33°C 24%
31°C 8%
30°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
29°C or below
$308 Vol.
1%
30°C
$453 Vol.
3%
31°C
$252 Vol.
8%
32°C
$1,101 Vol.
69%
33°C
$874 Vol.
24%
34°C
$160 Vol.
1%
35°C
$68 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$282 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$336 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$306 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$306 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including NOAA-aligned and European ensembles positions Tel Aviv's September 3 maximum near 31–32 °C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 32 °C. Early-September climatology shows a baseline high of ~29.6 °C under typical Mediterranean subsidence and light northwesterly flow; current observations and 48-hour guidance indicate minimal deviation, with partly cloudy skies, dew points near 22 °C, and no incoming trough or Saharan air mass to drive anomalies. Stable pressure fields and light winds limit diurnal range, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around the 32–33 °C outcomes while leaving modest room for model spread or local urban heat effects. Updated runs ahead of landfall timing will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,446Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including NOAA-aligned and European ensembles positions Tel Aviv's September 3 maximum near 31–32 °C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 32 °C. Early-September climatology shows a baseline high of ~29.6 °C under typical Mediterranean subsidence and light northwesterly flow; current observations and 48-hour guidance indicate minimal deviation, with partly cloudy skies, dew points near 22 °C, and no incoming trough or Saharan air mass to drive anomalies. Stable pressure fields and light winds limit diurnal range, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around the 32–33 °C outcomes while leaving modest room for model spread or local urban heat effects. Updated runs ahead of landfall timing will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,446Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including NOAA-aligned and European ensembles positions Tel Aviv's September 3 maximum near 31–32 °C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 32 °C. Early-September climatology shows a baseline high of ~29.6 °C under typical Mediterranean subsidence and light northwesterly flow; current observations and 48-hour guidance indicate minimal deviation, with partly cloudy skies, dew points near 22 °C, and no incoming trough or Saharan air mass to drive anomalies. Stable pressure fields and light winds limit diurnal range, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around the 32–33 °C outcomes while leaving modest room for model spread or local urban heat effects. Updated runs ahead of landfall timing will refine these probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions