Environment Canada forecasts for Toronto on April 15 indicate daytime highs of 18–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with 30–60% chances of showers, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes with 20°C leading at 33.5% implied probability. The tight clustering among 19°C (26%), 21°C (21%), and 18°C or below (18.5%) reflects uncertainty in peak solar insolation, as persistent cloud cover limits surface heating while intermittent precipitation could further suppress temperatures through evaporative cooling. Yesterday's observed high of 19°C at Pearson Airport amid southerly flows sets a warm baseline above the mid-April climatological average of ~12°C, but model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs shows limited intensification potential. Hourly observations today will refine the peak, with resolution tied to official airport measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Toronto on April 15?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 15?
20°C 37%
19°C 26%
21°C 22%
18°C or below 17%
$34,248 Vol.
$34,248 Vol.
18°C or below
17%
19°C
26%
20°C
37%
21°C
22%
22°C
5%
23°C
4%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
20°C 37%
19°C 26%
21°C 22%
18°C or below 17%
$34,248 Vol.
$34,248 Vol.
18°C or below
17%
19°C
26%
20°C
37%
21°C
22%
22°C
5%
23°C
4%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada forecasts for Toronto on April 15 indicate daytime highs of 18–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with 30–60% chances of showers, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes with 20°C leading at 33.5% implied probability. The tight clustering among 19°C (26%), 21°C (21%), and 18°C or below (18.5%) reflects uncertainty in peak solar insolation, as persistent cloud cover limits surface heating while intermittent precipitation could further suppress temperatures through evaporative cooling. Yesterday's observed high of 19°C at Pearson Airport amid southerly flows sets a warm baseline above the mid-April climatological average of ~12°C, but model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs shows limited intensification potential. Hourly observations today will refine the peak, with resolution tied to official airport measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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