Official meteorological observations from Warsaw stations recorded a daily maximum of 20°C on May 31, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This result matches ensemble numerical weather prediction guidance from European centers and typical late-May climatological norms under stable high-pressure systems that limited warm-air advection from the south. Late-spring baseline temperatures in the region average near 20°C, with limited day-to-day variability absent strong frontal passages. Scenarios that could realistically shift resolution include post-analysis revisions to station data, localized measurement differences at the primary observing site, or unexpected model-observation discrepancies, though current verified readings support the tight consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 31?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 31?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$51,740 Vol.
$51,740 Vol.
31 mai 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$51,740 Vol.
$51,740 Vol.
31 mai 2026
15°C or below
$196 Vol.
No
16°C
$239 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,392 Vol.
No
18°C
$5,360 Vol.
No
19°C
$7,371 Vol.
No
20°C
$11,523 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$5,588 Vol.
No
22°C
$6,222 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,735 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,087 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$2,027 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Warsaw stations recorded a daily maximum of 20°C on May 31, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This result matches ensemble numerical weather prediction guidance from European centers and typical late-May climatological norms under stable high-pressure systems that limited warm-air advection from the south. Late-spring baseline temperatures in the region average near 20°C, with limited day-to-day variability absent strong frontal passages. Scenarios that could realistically shift resolution include post-analysis revisions to station data, localized measurement differences at the primary observing site, or unexpected model-observation discrepancies, though current verified readings support the tight consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: May 29, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volume
$51,740Data de Término
31 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 29, 2026, 12:13 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Warsaw stations recorded a daily maximum of 20°C on May 31, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This result matches ensemble numerical weather prediction guidance from European centers and typical late-May climatological norms under stable high-pressure systems that limited warm-air advection from the south. Late-spring baseline temperatures in the region average near 20°C, with limited day-to-day variability absent strong frontal passages. Scenarios that could realistically shift resolution include post-analysis revisions to station data, localized measurement differences at the primary observing site, or unexpected model-observation discrepancies, though current verified readings support the tight consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$51,740Data de Término
31 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 29, 2026, 12:13 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Official meteorological observations from Warsaw stations recorded a daily maximum of 20°C on May 31, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This result matches ensemble numerical weather prediction guidance from European centers and typical late-May climatological norms under stable high-pressure systems that limited warm-air advection from the south. Late-spring baseline temperatures in the region average near 20°C, with limited day-to-day variability absent strong frontal passages. Scenarios that could realistically shift resolution include post-analysis revisions to station data, localized measurement differences at the primary observing site, or unexpected model-observation discrepancies, though current verified readings support the tight consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions