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icon for Quantos discordaram na reunião de outubro do Fed?

Quantos discordaram na reunião de outubro do Fed?

icon for Quantos discordaram na reunião de outubro do Fed?

Quantos discordaram na reunião de outubro do Fed?

set 16

out 28

dez 9

jan 27, 2027

set 16

out 28

dez 9

jan 27, 2027

3 25%

2 22%

1 21%

4+ 18%

Polymarket
NOVO

3 25%

2 22%

1 21%

4+ 18%

Polymarket
NOVO

0

$320 Vol.

15%

1

$345 Vol.

21%

2

$320 Vol.

22%

3

$340 Vol.

25%

4+

$690 Vol.

18%

The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent August 2026 CPI data showing a 0.4% monthly rise and 3.4% annual increase, alongside 4.1% unemployment, has sustained hawkish pressure on the FOMC ahead of the October 27-28 meeting under Chair Kevin Warsh. Elevated dissent in the July vote—three members favoring a 25-basis-point hike against a 9-3 hold—highlights ongoing divisions between officials prioritizing faster tightening to address sticky inflation and those preferring data-dependent patience amid midterms and mixed growth signals. With market-implied odds clustered tightly around two to three dissents, trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether the September decision and incoming releases will unify the committee or widen the split on the appropriate federal funds rate path versus the 3.50-3.75% range.

The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,015
Data de Término
28 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent August 2026 CPI data showing a 0.4% monthly rise and 3.4% annual increase, alongside 4.1% unemployment, has sustained hawkish pressure on the FOMC ahead of the October 27-28 meeting under Chair Kevin Warsh. Elevated dissent in the July vote—three members favoring a 25-basis-point hike against a 9-3 hold—highlights ongoing divisions between officials prioritizing faster tightening to address sticky inflation and those preferring data-dependent patience amid midterms and mixed growth signals. With market-implied odds clustered tightly around two to three dissents, trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether the September decision and incoming releases will unify the committee or widen the split on the appropriate federal funds rate path versus the 3.50-3.75% range.

The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,015
Data de Término
28 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Quantos discordaram na reunião de outubro do Fed?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "3" at 25%, followed by "2" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Quantos discordaram na reunião de outubro do Fed?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Quantos discordaram na reunião de outubro do Fed?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quantos discordaram na reunião de outubro do Fed?" is "3" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quantos discordaram na reunião de outubro do Fed?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.