Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 heading into the 36 races on the November 2026 ballot, with each party defending 18 seats. Fifteen incumbents are term-limited, creating open contests in several states that have produced recent rating shifts toward Democrats in Iowa, Alaska, and elsewhere. Key battlegrounds include Georgia, Alaska, Nevada, Arizona, Ohio, and Iowa, where polling and forecaster adjustments reflect narrow margins and vulnerability for Republican-held seats. These dynamics keep projected net changes modest, sustaining tight probabilities across the 22–27 range as traders weigh local candidate strength, turnout patterns, and any late-cycle national influences that could tip a handful of contests.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado22–23 29%
24–25 25%
<22 20%
26–27 20%
$693,543 Vol.
$693,543 Vol.
2 nov 2026
<22
20%
22–23
29%
24–25
25%
26–27
20%
28–29
3%
30–31
1%
32+
1%
22–23 29%
24–25 25%
<22 20%
26–27 20%
$693,543 Vol.
$693,543 Vol.
2 nov 2026
<22
$49,535 Vol.
20%
22–23
$9,627 Vol.
29%
24–25
$34,149 Vol.
25%
26–27
$18,157 Vol.
20%
28–29
$558,010 Vol.
3%
30–31
$8,404 Vol.
1%
32+
$15,661 Vol.
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 heading into the 36 races on the November 2026 ballot, with each party defending 18 seats. Fifteen incumbents are term-limited, creating open contests in several states that have produced recent rating shifts toward Democrats in Iowa, Alaska, and elsewhere. Key battlegrounds include Georgia, Alaska, Nevada, Arizona, Ohio, and Iowa, where polling and forecaster adjustments reflect narrow margins and vulnerability for Republican-held seats. These dynamics keep projected net changes modest, sustaining tight probabilities across the 22–27 range as traders weigh local candidate strength, turnout patterns, and any late-cycle national influences that could tip a handful of contests.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Volume
$693,543Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 heading into the 36 races on the November 2026 ballot, with each party defending 18 seats. Fifteen incumbents are term-limited, creating open contests in several states that have produced recent rating shifts toward Democrats in Iowa, Alaska, and elsewhere. Key battlegrounds include Georgia, Alaska, Nevada, Arizona, Ohio, and Iowa, where polling and forecaster adjustments reflect narrow margins and vulnerability for Republican-held seats. These dynamics keep projected net changes modest, sustaining tight probabilities across the 22–27 range as traders weigh local candidate strength, turnout patterns, and any late-cycle national influences that could tip a handful of contests.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$693,543Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 heading into the 36 races on the November 2026 ballot, with each party defending 18 seats. Fifteen incumbents are term-limited, creating open contests in several states that have produced recent rating shifts toward Democrats in Iowa, Alaska, and elsewhere. Key battlegrounds include Georgia, Alaska, Nevada, Arizona, Ohio, and Iowa, where polling and forecaster adjustments reflect narrow margins and vulnerability for Republican-held seats. These dynamics keep projected net changes modest, sustaining tight probabilities across the 22–27 range as traders weigh local candidate strength, turnout patterns, and any late-cycle national influences that could tip a handful of contests.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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43%
Sim
Os atuais senadores republicanos não vencerão exatamente três eleições de nomeação no ciclo de 2026?
99%
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Deputados republicanos em exercício não vencerão entre quatro e seis eleições de nomeação no ciclo de 2026?
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