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Iowa Republican Senate Primary Winner

icon for Iowa Republican Senate Primary Winner

Iowa Republican Senate Primary Winner

Ashley Hinson 100.0%

Jim Carlin <1%

Joshua Smith <1%

John Berman <1%

Polymarket

$26,740 Vol.

Ashley Hinson 100.0%

Jim Carlin <1%

Joshua Smith <1%

John Berman <1%

Polymarket

$26,740 Vol.

Jim Carlin

$3,396 Vol.

No

Joshua Smith

$5,260 Vol.

No

John Berman

$1,739 Vol.

No

Ashley Hinson

$16,345 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Ashley Hinson secured the Republican nomination for Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat in the June 2 primary, defeating former state Sen. Jim Carlin by roughly 74% to 26%. Her commanding position stems from strong establishment and donor support as a three-term House member, Donald Trump's endorsement, and the retirement of incumbent Sen. Joni Ernst, which cleared a unified path. Fundraising totals and party alignment further consolidated backing ahead of the vote. Minor candidates like Joshua Smith remained negligible. Late vote certification or unforeseen legal challenges represent the primary remaining variables that could alter the outcome before final resolution.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Iowa.

If no 2026 Iowa Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$26,740
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 2:11 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Ashley Hinson secured the Republican nomination for Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat in the June 2 primary, defeating former state Sen. Jim Carlin by roughly 74% to 26%. Her commanding position stems from strong establishment and donor support as a three-term House member, Donald Trump's endorsement, and the retirement of incumbent Sen. Joni Ernst, which cleared a unified path. Fundraising totals and party alignment further consolidated backing ahead of the vote. Minor candidates like Joshua Smith remained negligible. Late vote certification or unforeseen legal challenges represent the primary remaining variables that could alter the outcome before final resolution.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Iowa.

If no 2026 Iowa Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$26,740
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 2:11 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Iowa Republican Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ashley Hinson" at 100%, followed by "Jim Carlin" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Iowa Republican Senate Primary Winner" has generated $26.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Iowa Republican Senate Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Iowa Republican Senate Primary Winner" is "Ashley Hinson" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jim Carlin" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Iowa Republican Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.