Trader consensus on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) posting volume for April 14–21 remains tightly contested, with <5 posts at 48%, 30–34 at 47%, and 15–19 at 46%, reflecting uncertainty over the new supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei's communication amid his recovery from severe facial and leg injuries sustained in the February 28 U.S.-Israeli airstrike that killed his father. Recent sporadic activity—four posts March 27–April 3—continued into early April amid 40-day mourning observances ending April 10, driving bets on subdued output, while historical bursts during tensions leave room for escalation signals or diplomatic statements to boost mid-range tallies. Ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict dynamics and Mojtaba's health reports could tip volumes higher if recovery accelerates or lower if incapacitation persists.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoKhamenei # publica de 14 a 21 de abril de 2026?
Khamenei # publica de 14 a 21 de abril de 2026?
60+ 67%
5-9 44%
10-14 43%
<5 42%
NOVO
NOVO
21 abr 2026
<5
42%
5-9
44%
10-14
43%
15-19
42%
20-24
37%
25-29
40%
30-34
37%
35-39
38%
40-44
37%
45-49
2%
50-54
2%
55-59
2%
60+
67%
60+ 67%
5-9 44%
10-14 43%
<5 42%
NOVO
NOVO
21 abr 2026
<5
$0 Vol.
42%
5-9
$0 Vol.
44%
10-14
$0 Vol.
43%
15-19
$0 Vol.
42%
20-24
$0 Vol.
37%
25-29
$0 Vol.
40%
30-34
$0 Vol.
37%
35-39
$6 Vol.
38%
40-44
$37 Vol.
37%
45-49
$36 Vol.
2%
50-54
$36 Vol.
2%
55-59
$36 Vol.
2%
60+
$67 Vol.
67%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) posting volume for April 14–21 remains tightly contested, with <5 posts at 48%, 30–34 at 47%, and 15–19 at 46%, reflecting uncertainty over the new supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei's communication amid his recovery from severe facial and leg injuries sustained in the February 28 U.S.-Israeli airstrike that killed his father. Recent sporadic activity—four posts March 27–April 3—continued into early April amid 40-day mourning observances ending April 10, driving bets on subdued output, while historical bursts during tensions leave room for escalation signals or diplomatic statements to boost mid-range tallies. Ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict dynamics and Mojtaba's health reports could tip volumes higher if recovery accelerates or lower if incapacitation persists.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$218Data de Término
21 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) posting volume for April 14–21 remains tightly contested, with <5 posts at 48%, 30–34 at 47%, and 15–19 at 46%, reflecting uncertainty over the new supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei's communication amid his recovery from severe facial and leg injuries sustained in the February 28 U.S.-Israeli airstrike that killed his father. Recent sporadic activity—four posts March 27–April 3—continued into early April amid 40-day mourning observances ending April 10, driving bets on subdued output, while historical bursts during tensions leave room for escalation signals or diplomatic statements to boost mid-range tallies. Ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict dynamics and Mojtaba's health reports could tip volumes higher if recovery accelerates or lower if incapacitation persists.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$218Data de Término
21 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) posting volume for April 14–21 remains tightly contested, with <5 posts at 48%, 30–34 at 47%, and 15–19 at 46%, reflecting uncertainty over the new supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei's communication amid his recovery from severe facial and leg injuries sustained in the February 28 U.S.-Israeli airstrike that killed his father. Recent sporadic activity—four posts March 27–April 3—continued into early April amid 40-day mourning observances ending April 10, driving bets on subdued output, while historical bursts during tensions leave room for escalation signals or diplomatic statements to boost mid-range tallies. Ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict dynamics and Mojtaba's health reports could tip volumes higher if recovery accelerates or lower if incapacitation persists.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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