Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Sen. Ted Cruz posting 60-79 times on X from April 14-21 at 60.5% implied probability, anchored by his established pattern as one of the most active U.S. senators, averaging 10-12 posts daily during legislative periods—evidenced by the March 27-April 3 market resolving in the 80-99 range amid co-sponsorships like the Polisario Front Terrorist Designation Act and SPONSOR Act. On April 10, Cruz sustained engagement with nine posts covering President Trump's announced two-week Iran ceasefire after 39 days of military action, border security under prior policies, a Johnson Space Center visit tied to Artemis II re-entry, and Verdict podcast promotion. The nearby 80-99 (39.5%) and 40-59 (37.0%) odds reflect uncertainty from potential Senate recesses, travel, or event-driven variance in the eight-day window, with no confirmed schedule shifts in the past 48 hours.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTed Cruz # posts 14 de abril - 21 de abril de 2026?
Ted Cruz # posts 14 de abril - 21 de abril de 2026?
60-79 61%
80-99 39%
40-59 37%
100-119 2.0%
NOVO
NOVO
21 abr 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
1%
40-59
37%
60-79
61%
80-99
39%
100-119
2%
120-139
2%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
1%
200+
1%
60-79 61%
80-99 39%
40-59 37%
100-119 2.0%
NOVO
NOVO
21 abr 2026
<20
$350 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$156 Vol.
1%
40-59
$0 Vol.
37%
60-79
$0 Vol.
61%
80-99
$0 Vol.
39%
100-119
$6 Vol.
2%
120-139
$6 Vol.
2%
140-159
$51 Vol.
1%
160-179
$92 Vol.
1%
180-199
$112 Vol.
1%
200+
$92 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Sen. Ted Cruz posting 60-79 times on X from April 14-21 at 60.5% implied probability, anchored by his established pattern as one of the most active U.S. senators, averaging 10-12 posts daily during legislative periods—evidenced by the March 27-April 3 market resolving in the 80-99 range amid co-sponsorships like the Polisario Front Terrorist Designation Act and SPONSOR Act. On April 10, Cruz sustained engagement with nine posts covering President Trump's announced two-week Iran ceasefire after 39 days of military action, border security under prior policies, a Johnson Space Center visit tied to Artemis II re-entry, and Verdict podcast promotion. The nearby 80-99 (39.5%) and 40-59 (37.0%) odds reflect uncertainty from potential Senate recesses, travel, or event-driven variance in the eight-day window, with no confirmed schedule shifts in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$865Data de Término
21 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/tedcruzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Sen. Ted Cruz posting 60-79 times on X from April 14-21 at 60.5% implied probability, anchored by his established pattern as one of the most active U.S. senators, averaging 10-12 posts daily during legislative periods—evidenced by the March 27-April 3 market resolving in the 80-99 range amid co-sponsorships like the Polisario Front Terrorist Designation Act and SPONSOR Act. On April 10, Cruz sustained engagement with nine posts covering President Trump's announced two-week Iran ceasefire after 39 days of military action, border security under prior policies, a Johnson Space Center visit tied to Artemis II re-entry, and Verdict podcast promotion. The nearby 80-99 (39.5%) and 40-59 (37.0%) odds reflect uncertainty from potential Senate recesses, travel, or event-driven variance in the eight-day window, with no confirmed schedule shifts in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$865Data de Término
21 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/tedcruzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Sen. Ted Cruz posting 60-79 times on X from April 14-21 at 60.5% implied probability, anchored by his established pattern as one of the most active U.S. senators, averaging 10-12 posts daily during legislative periods—evidenced by the March 27-April 3 market resolving in the 80-99 range amid co-sponsorships like the Polisario Front Terrorist Designation Act and SPONSOR Act. On April 10, Cruz sustained engagement with nine posts covering President Trump's announced two-week Iran ceasefire after 39 days of military action, border security under prior policies, a Johnson Space Center visit tied to Artemis II re-entry, and Verdict podcast promotion. The nearby 80-99 (39.5%) and 40-59 (37.0%) odds reflect uncertainty from potential Senate recesses, travel, or event-driven variance in the eight-day window, with no confirmed schedule shifts in the past 48 hours.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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