Louisiana's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader first elected in 2008, faces limited primary opposition from Randall Arrington and a Democratic challenger in Lauren Jewett, with no major developments shifting the competitive landscape since candidate filings opened. Traders assign the Republican Party a 90.5% implied probability of winning the November 2026 general election due to the district's voting history and the incumbent's established position. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance in the midterm cycle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLA-01 Vencedor da eleição da casa
LA-01 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$37,600 Vol.
$37,600 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
91%
Partido Democrata
9%
$37,600 Vol.
$37,600 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$16,105 Vol.
91%
Partido Democrata
$21,495 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader first elected in 2008, faces limited primary opposition from Randall Arrington and a Democratic challenger in Lauren Jewett, with no major developments shifting the competitive landscape since candidate filings opened. Traders assign the Republican Party a 90.5% implied probability of winning the November 2026 general election due to the district's voting history and the incumbent's established position. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance in the midterm cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$37,600Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader first elected in 2008, faces limited primary opposition from Randall Arrington and a Democratic challenger in Lauren Jewett, with no major developments shifting the competitive landscape since candidate filings opened. Traders assign the Republican Party a 90.5% implied probability of winning the November 2026 general election due to the district's voting history and the incumbent's established position. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance in the midterm cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$37,600Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader first elected in 2008, faces limited primary opposition from Randall Arrington and a Democratic challenger in Lauren Jewett, with no major developments shifting the competitive landscape since candidate filings opened. Traders assign the Republican Party a 90.5% implied probability of winning the November 2026 general election due to the district's voting history and the incumbent's established position. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance in the midterm cycle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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