**Recent forecasts for Cape Town indicate the minimum temperature on September 6 will likely fall in the mid-teens Celsius, with official model consensus pointing to overnight lows around 14–16°C under clear, calm conditions.** Springtime high-pressure systems and light easterly or variable winds are expected to limit strong radiative cooling while daytime heating reaches 22–26°C, consistent with seasonal norms near 14.5°C average for the month. Recent developments include a cut-off low that brought cooler, windy, and wet weather earlier in the week, with actual minima dipping to 10–12°C on September 3–5 before conditions stabilized. Model agreement remains high for dry, stable air on the 6th, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or exact station readings (such as Cape Town International) introduce uncertainty that traders appear to price into the elevated implied probability for 11°C or below. Updated NHC-style regional guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these expectations ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa na Cidade do Cabo em 6 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa na Cidade do Cabo em 6 de setembro?
11°C ou menos 99%
21°C ou mais 59%
15°C 49%
16°C 49%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
11°C ou menos
99%
12°C
26%
13°C
28%
14°C
28%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
36%
18°C
2%
19°C
36%
20°C
36%
21°C ou mais
59%
11°C ou menos 99%
21°C ou mais 59%
15°C 49%
16°C 49%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
11°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
99%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
28%
14°C
$0 Vol.
28%
15°C
$0 Vol.
49%
16°C
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C
$0 Vol.
36%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
36%
20°C
$0 Vol.
36%
21°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Cape Town indicate the minimum temperature on September 6 will likely fall in the mid-teens Celsius, with official model consensus pointing to overnight lows around 14–16°C under clear, calm conditions.**
Springtime high-pressure systems and light easterly or variable winds are expected to limit strong radiative cooling while daytime heating reaches 22–26°C, consistent with seasonal norms near 14.5°C average for the month. Recent developments include a cut-off low that brought cooler, windy, and wet weather earlier in the week, with actual minima dipping to 10–12°C on September 3–5 before conditions stabilized. Model agreement remains high for dry, stable air on the 6th, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or exact station readings (such as Cape Town International) introduce uncertainty that traders appear to price into the elevated implied probability for 11°C or below. Updated NHC-style regional guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these expectations ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Cape Town indicate the minimum temperature on September 6 will likely fall in the mid-teens Celsius, with official model consensus pointing to overnight lows around 14–16°C under clear, calm conditions.**
Springtime high-pressure systems and light easterly or variable winds are expected to limit strong radiative cooling while daytime heating reaches 22–26°C, consistent with seasonal norms near 14.5°C average for the month. Recent developments include a cut-off low that brought cooler, windy, and wet weather earlier in the week, with actual minima dipping to 10–12°C on September 3–5 before conditions stabilized. Model agreement remains high for dry, stable air on the 6th, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or exact station readings (such as Cape Town International) introduce uncertainty that traders appear to price into the elevated implied probability for 11°C or below. Updated NHC-style regional guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these expectations ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for Cape Town indicate the minimum temperature on September 6 will likely fall in the mid-teens Celsius, with official model consensus pointing to overnight lows around 14–16°C under clear, calm conditions.** Springtime high-pressure systems and light easterly or variable winds are expected to limit strong radiative cooling while daytime heating reaches 22–26°C, consistent with seasonal norms near 14.5°C average for the month. Recent developments include a cut-off low that brought cooler, windy, and wet weather earlier in the week, with actual minima dipping to 10–12°C on September 3–5 before conditions stabilized. Model agreement remains high for dry, stable air on the 6th, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing or exact station readings (such as Cape Town International) introduce uncertainty that traders appear to price into the elevated implied probability for 11°C or below. Updated NHC-style regional guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these expectations ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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