**Forecast uncertainty around overnight radiative cooling and moisture levels is driving the closely matched market odds for Guangzhou’s September 17 low.** Historical September 17 averages place the overnight low near 24°C, with records spanning 17.9°C to 28.1°C, yet 2026 model runs show a wide envelope tied to variable cloud cover, light rain chances, and weak steering flows typical of the late monsoon transition. Clearer skies could allow stronger radiational cooling toward the low-20s or below, while persistent humidity and cloud decks from distant tropical moisture favor readings near or above 26°C. Traders appear to weigh the potential for subtle cold-air advection or enhanced precipitation against the more typical subtropical pattern, producing balanced implied probabilities across the extremes rather than convergence on the climatological mean. Updated model guidance and surface observations overnight will likely sharpen resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Guangzhou em 17 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Guangzhou em 17 de setembro?
20°C ou menos 74%
30°C ou mais 74%
27°C 42%
26°C 40%
NOVO
NOVO
17 set 2026
20°C ou menos
74%
21°C
14%
22°C
22%
23°C
21%
24°C
21%
25°C
22%
26°C
30%
27°C
27%
28°C
17%
29°C
17%
30°C ou mais
74%
20°C ou menos 74%
30°C ou mais 74%
27°C 42%
26°C 40%
NOVO
NOVO
17 set 2026
20°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
74%
21°C
$0 Vol.
14%
22°C
$74 Vol.
22%
23°C
$48 Vol.
21%
24°C
$0 Vol.
21%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$5 Vol.
30%
27°C
$45 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
17%
29°C
$0 Vol.
17%
30°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty around overnight radiative cooling and moisture levels is driving the closely matched market odds for Guangzhou’s September 17 low.** Historical September 17 averages place the overnight low near 24°C, with records spanning 17.9°C to 28.1°C, yet 2026 model runs show a wide envelope tied to variable cloud cover, light rain chances, and weak steering flows typical of the late monsoon transition. Clearer skies could allow stronger radiational cooling toward the low-20s or below, while persistent humidity and cloud decks from distant tropical moisture favor readings near or above 26°C. Traders appear to weigh the potential for subtle cold-air advection or enhanced precipitation against the more typical subtropical pattern, producing balanced implied probabilities across the extremes rather than convergence on the climatological mean. Updated model guidance and surface observations overnight will likely sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$172Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty around overnight radiative cooling and moisture levels is driving the closely matched market odds for Guangzhou’s September 17 low.** Historical September 17 averages place the overnight low near 24°C, with records spanning 17.9°C to 28.1°C, yet 2026 model runs show a wide envelope tied to variable cloud cover, light rain chances, and weak steering flows typical of the late monsoon transition. Clearer skies could allow stronger radiational cooling toward the low-20s or below, while persistent humidity and cloud decks from distant tropical moisture favor readings near or above 26°C. Traders appear to weigh the potential for subtle cold-air advection or enhanced precipitation against the more typical subtropical pattern, producing balanced implied probabilities across the extremes rather than convergence on the climatological mean. Updated model guidance and surface observations overnight will likely sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$172Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty around overnight radiative cooling and moisture levels is driving the closely matched market odds for Guangzhou’s September 17 low.** Historical September 17 averages place the overnight low near 24°C, with records spanning 17.9°C to 28.1°C, yet 2026 model runs show a wide envelope tied to variable cloud cover, light rain chances, and weak steering flows typical of the late monsoon transition. Clearer skies could allow stronger radiational cooling toward the low-20s or below, while persistent humidity and cloud decks from distant tropical moisture favor readings near or above 26°C. Traders appear to weigh the potential for subtle cold-air advection or enhanced precipitation against the more typical subtropical pattern, producing balanced implied probabilities across the extremes rather than convergence on the climatological mean. Updated model guidance and surface observations overnight will likely sharpen resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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