**Forecast models from agencies like NOAA’s GFS and ECMWF consensus indicate an overnight minimum in Istanbul of 16–18°C on September 14, 2026, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, and surface pressure near 1020 hPa under stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn in the region.** This aligns with climatological norms of roughly 16–19°C for mid-September lows and explains the market-implied probabilities favoring 17°C and 18°C outcomes, as traders incorporate the latest model runs showing minimal overnight cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to these thresholds pending final observational data from local stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Istambul no dia 14 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Istambul no dia 14 de setembro?
18°C 99%
15°C 20%
17°C 4%
16°C 3%
$1,142 Vol.
$1,142 Vol.
14 set 2026
14°C ou menos
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Sim
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C ou mais
Não
18°C 99%
15°C 20%
17°C 4%
16°C 3%
$1,142 Vol.
$1,142 Vol.
14 set 2026
14°C ou menos
$157 Vol.
Não
15°C
$0 Vol.
Não
16°C
$70 Vol.
Não
17°C
$25 Vol.
Não
18°C
$111 Vol.
Sim
19°C
$557 Vol.
Não
20°C
$221 Vol.
Não
21°C
$0 Vol.
Não
22°C
$0 Vol.
Não
23°C
$0 Vol.
Não
24°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies like NOAA’s GFS and ECMWF consensus indicate an overnight minimum in Istanbul of 16–18°C on September 14, 2026, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, and surface pressure near 1020 hPa under stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn in the region.**
This aligns with climatological norms of roughly 16–19°C for mid-September lows and explains the market-implied probabilities favoring 17°C and 18°C outcomes, as traders incorporate the latest model runs showing minimal overnight cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to these thresholds pending final observational data from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,142Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies like NOAA’s GFS and ECMWF consensus indicate an overnight minimum in Istanbul of 16–18°C on September 14, 2026, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, and surface pressure near 1020 hPa under stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn in the region.**
This aligns with climatological norms of roughly 16–19°C for mid-September lows and explains the market-implied probabilities favoring 17°C and 18°C outcomes, as traders incorporate the latest model runs showing minimal overnight cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to these thresholds pending final observational data from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,142Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Forecast models from agencies like NOAA’s GFS and ECMWF consensus indicate an overnight minimum in Istanbul of 16–18°C on September 14, 2026, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, and surface pressure near 1020 hPa under stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn in the region.** This aligns with climatological norms of roughly 16–19°C for mid-September lows and explains the market-implied probabilities favoring 17°C and 18°C outcomes, as traders incorporate the latest model runs showing minimal overnight cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to these thresholds pending final observational data from local stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions