Traders assign a 92% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 22°C or higher in Jinan on August 21 because mid-August climatology and current forecast guidance from regional models point to typical overnight lows near 22–25°C under persistent warm, humid subtropical conditions. Historical August minimums average around 21–22°C, with diurnal ranges supported by high daytime heating and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Official forecasts show nighttime temperatures holding above 21°C amid easterly flow and minimal precipitation. A realistic challenge would require an unseasonal cold front or rapid cloud cover increase that enhances cooling beyond model consensus, though such shifts remain unlikely given stable large-scale patterns and limited forecast spread.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Jinan em 21 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Jinan em 21 de agosto?
22°C or higher 99%
20°C 3%
15°C 2%
16°C 2%
NOVO
NOVO
21 ago 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
99%
22°C or higher 99%
20°C 3%
15°C 2%
16°C 2%
NOVO
NOVO
21 ago 2026
12°C or below
$155 Vol.
1%
13°C
$166 Vol.
1%
14°C
$136 Vol.
1%
15°C
$61 Vol.
2%
16°C
$78 Vol.
2%
17°C
$139 Vol.
2%
18°C
$139 Vol.
2%
19°C
$62 Vol.
2%
20°C
$122 Vol.
3%
21°C
$102 Vol.
2%
22°C or higher
$447 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign a 92% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 22°C or higher in Jinan on August 21 because mid-August climatology and current forecast guidance from regional models point to typical overnight lows near 22–25°C under persistent warm, humid subtropical conditions. Historical August minimums average around 21–22°C, with diurnal ranges supported by high daytime heating and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Official forecasts show nighttime temperatures holding above 21°C amid easterly flow and minimal precipitation. A realistic challenge would require an unseasonal cold front or rapid cloud cover increase that enhances cooling beyond model consensus, though such shifts remain unlikely given stable large-scale patterns and limited forecast spread.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$1,604Data de Término
21 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign a 92% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 22°C or higher in Jinan on August 21 because mid-August climatology and current forecast guidance from regional models point to typical overnight lows near 22–25°C under persistent warm, humid subtropical conditions. Historical August minimums average around 21–22°C, with diurnal ranges supported by high daytime heating and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Official forecasts show nighttime temperatures holding above 21°C amid easterly flow and minimal precipitation. A realistic challenge would require an unseasonal cold front or rapid cloud cover increase that enhances cooling beyond model consensus, though such shifts remain unlikely given stable large-scale patterns and limited forecast spread.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,604Data de Término
21 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 92% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 22°C or higher in Jinan on August 21 because mid-August climatology and current forecast guidance from regional models point to typical overnight lows near 22–25°C under persistent warm, humid subtropical conditions. Historical August minimums average around 21–22°C, with diurnal ranges supported by high daytime heating and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Official forecasts show nighttime temperatures holding above 21°C amid easterly flow and minimal precipitation. A realistic challenge would require an unseasonal cold front or rapid cloud cover increase that enhances cooling beyond model consensus, though such shifts remain unlikely given stable large-scale patterns and limited forecast spread.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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